SAN FRANCISCO, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Shares of Intel Corp and other semiconductor makers slid on Tuesday after Morgan Stanley downgraded the sector, warning that inventory was creeping up and revenue growth could peak in early 2010.
Morgan Stanley, which downgraded bellwether Intel to equal- weight from overweight, cast a shadow over growing optimism among investors and executives that a revival in corporate and consumer spending would prop up chip sales.
The U.S. investment bank downgraded the U.S. semiconductor sector to cautious from attractive, saying expectations of a recovery and forecasts of above-seasonal growth may have already been factored into stock prices.
'A lot of good news has been baked in,' wrote Morgan Stanley analyst Mark Lipacis. 'We can't help but think that PC component suppliers will have a difficult time beating expectations for over the next several quarters.'
But he added: 'On the demand side, we've argued that the financial crisis motivated companies to stop spending on IT hardware and there is now pent-up demand for IT equipment.'
TROUBLE IN TAIWAN
While inventory levels have been at historically healthy levels, Morgan Stanley's note said that increased builds ahead of the holiday shopping season and release of Microsoft Corp's Windows 7 operating system have caused inventory levels to creep up.
Additionally, Lipacis wrote that the investment bank expects margins for semiconductor companies to hit their peak in the next year.
Morgan Stanley downgraded chipmakers Altera Corp and Xilinx Inc to equal-weight from overweight, mostly due to weaker-than-expected international demand, even though the two companies are expected to benefit from the recovery.
Memory chipmaker Micron Technology Inc was downgraded as well to equal-weight from over-weight, again due to the industry-wide inventory and supply concerns.
Graphics and chipset maker Nvidia Corpwas downgraded to underweight from equal-weight, primarily because the company is expected to lose chipset marketshare to Intel, whose competing products will be cheaper.
Intel shares closed down 2.68 percent to $18.50, Rambus Inc , fell 1.25 percent to $15.75, and Nvidia Corp , slid 0.5 percent to $12.01. Xilinx finished off 0.92 percent to $21.55, and Altera fell 1.56 percent to $19.61.
However, shares of Intel arch-rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc closed up 0.87 percent to $4.64, and Micron Technologies rose 1.06 percent to $6.65.
LSI Corp closed 2.73 percent lower at $4.99.
(Reporting by Ian Sherr; editing by Andre Grenon; editing by Carol Bishopric)
((ian.sherr@thomsonreuters.com +1 415.677.2542; Reuters Messaging: ian.sherr.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net)) Keywords: INTEL/SEMIS (See http://blogs.reuters.com/mediafile/ for Media and Technology -- Reuters' media and technology blog) COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Reuters 2009. All rights reserved. The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters.
Morgan Stanley, which downgraded bellwether Intel to equal- weight from overweight, cast a shadow over growing optimism among investors and executives that a revival in corporate and consumer spending would prop up chip sales.
The U.S. investment bank downgraded the U.S. semiconductor sector to cautious from attractive, saying expectations of a recovery and forecasts of above-seasonal growth may have already been factored into stock prices.
'A lot of good news has been baked in,' wrote Morgan Stanley analyst Mark Lipacis. 'We can't help but think that PC component suppliers will have a difficult time beating expectations for over the next several quarters.'
But he added: 'On the demand side, we've argued that the financial crisis motivated companies to stop spending on IT hardware and there is now pent-up demand for IT equipment.'
TROUBLE IN TAIWAN
While inventory levels have been at historically healthy levels, Morgan Stanley's note said that increased builds ahead of the holiday shopping season and release of Microsoft Corp's Windows 7 operating system have caused inventory levels to creep up.
Additionally, Lipacis wrote that the investment bank expects margins for semiconductor companies to hit their peak in the next year.
Morgan Stanley downgraded chipmakers Altera Corp and Xilinx Inc to equal-weight from overweight, mostly due to weaker-than-expected international demand, even though the two companies are expected to benefit from the recovery.
Memory chipmaker Micron Technology Inc was downgraded as well to equal-weight from over-weight, again due to the industry-wide inventory and supply concerns.
Graphics and chipset maker Nvidia Corpwas downgraded to underweight from equal-weight, primarily because the company is expected to lose chipset marketshare to Intel, whose competing products will be cheaper.
Intel shares closed down 2.68 percent to $18.50, Rambus Inc , fell 1.25 percent to $15.75, and Nvidia Corp , slid 0.5 percent to $12.01. Xilinx finished off 0.92 percent to $21.55, and Altera fell 1.56 percent to $19.61.
However, shares of Intel arch-rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc closed up 0.87 percent to $4.64, and Micron Technologies rose 1.06 percent to $6.65.
LSI Corp closed 2.73 percent lower at $4.99.
(Reporting by Ian Sherr; editing by Andre Grenon; editing by Carol Bishopric)
((ian.sherr@thomsonreuters.com +1 415.677.2542; Reuters Messaging: ian.sherr.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net)) Keywords: INTEL/SEMIS (See http://blogs.reuters.com/mediafile/ for Media and Technology -- Reuters' media and technology blog) COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Reuters 2009. All rights reserved. The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters.
