Der Kupferpreis hat 2015 bereits über 15% verloren. Glaubt man den Analysten, könnte es zu weiteren Preisverfällen kommen. Sie sehen hier Parallelen zum Eisenerzmarkt. Der Preis für eine Tonne Eisenerz ist so stark gefallen, dass derzeit nur die Industriegrößen wie Rio Tinto oder BHP Billiton Geld verdienen können. Der Wegfall der Produktion kleinerer und mittlerer Produzenten wird durch die Steigerung der Förderung bei den Großen kompensiert, denn diese müssen ihre Umsätze halten.
Während manche ein ähnlich düsteres Szenario für den Kupfermarkt erwarten, gibt es auch Gegenmeinungen. So gehen die Kupfer-Bullen in Kürze von einem massiven Angebotsdefizit aus. Sie erwarten, dass sich der Kupferpreis in Folge dessen wieder erholen könnte. Derzeit kostet Kupfer nur 5.226,50 US-Dollar je Tonne. Viel hängt am Markt allerdings auch mit der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung Chinas zusammen. Selbst kleinste Nachkommastellenveränderungen beim BIP könnten den Preis für das Industriemetall unter Druck setzen. Die Volksrepublik nimmt etwa 40% der globalen Kupferförderung ab.
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