DATE LOCAL/GMT INDICATOR/EVENT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
------------------------Feb 21 week----------------------------
Mon 0930/0230 Qtrly GDP data Q4 2009 +4.0% y/y -2.8% y/y
Fri 1430/0730 BOT monthly data Jan - -
Fri 1430/0730 Foreign reserves Feb 19 - $141.2 bln
Fri 1430/0730 BOT FX swaps Feb 19 - $13.0 bln
------------------------Feb 28 week-----------------------------
Fri 1430/0730 Foreign reserves Feb 26 - -
Fri 1430/0730 BOT FX swaps Feb 26 - -
In July 2003, the Bank of Thailand repaid all multilateral loans Thailand took between 1997 and 1999 under a package arranged by the International Monetary Fund.
Thailand had foreign reserves of $141.2 billion on Feb. 12.
THAILAND ECONOMIC DATA
The following is a list of the latest Thai economic data (*indicates preliminary numbers, # denotes projected numbers):
MONTHLY DATA:
Exports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr
26.2 17.3 -2.6 -8.3 -17.9 -25.7 -26.4 -26.5
25.2
Imports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr
33.0 -0.3 -19.0 -18.2 -33.8 -31.7 -26.3 -34.3
36.4
Current Account ($ bln, BOP basis)
Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr
0.76 1.34 2.2 1.30 1.92 0.54 0.64 1.55 0.59
Manufacturing Production Index (yr/yr pct terms)
Dec* Nov* Oct* Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar
35.7 8.9 0.5 1.9 -9.9 -7.0 -8.2 -9.8 -9.6
14.5
Headline Consumer Price Index (yr/yr pct terms)
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar
+4.1 +3.5 +1.9 +0.4 -1.0 -1.0 -4.4 -4.0 -3.3 -0.9 -0.2
Foreign Reserves ($ bln, month-end)
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May
142.4 138.4 139.8 135.3 131.3 127.3 123.4 120.8 121.5
Consumer Confidence Index for Overall Economy
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar
71.9 70.4 69.1 68.0 68.4 67.4 66.3 65.4 64.3 65.1 66.0
(A reading below 100 indicates relatively weak consumer
confidence compared with Thailand's pre-1997 sentiment, while a
figure above 100 reflects relatively strong confidence).
Business Sentiment Index
Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb
50.4 49.0 50.3 49.0 46.1 45.0 46.3 45.4 39.2 40.0 37.4
(A reading above 50 indicates business sentiment has improved,
while a figure below 50 shows sentiment has worsened).
Baht Exchange Rate (per U.S. dlr, month-end)
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May
33.15 33.35 33.21 33.43 33.55 34.01 34.04 34.02 34.38
Industrial Capacity Utilisation (pct of installed capacity)
Dec* Nov* Oct* Sep* Aug* Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb
70.1 65.2 66.4 65.4 60.4 61.8 60.2 60.6 56.7 62.4 54.8
Total Domestic Vehicle Sales (yr/yr pct terms)
Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr
+22.2 +23.8 +8.8 +1.6 -8.2 -3.6 -13.4 -26.2 -27.4
Foreign Debt ($ bln, month-end)
Apr* Mar* Feb* Jan* Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul
65.7 66.4 63.9 63.79 61.7 61.6 60.7 59.8 59.8 59.8
QUARTERLY DATA:
GDP Growth (yr/yr pct terms)
Q3 09* Q2 09* Q1 09* Q4 09 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q4 07
-2.8 -4.9 -7.1 -4.2 2.9 5.2 6.4 5.3
Exports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q4 07
12.2 -17.5 -26.1 -19.9
10.4 26.1 28.6 23.7 24.0
Imports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q407
1.4 -28.3 -33.0
37.5 5.3 39.4 30.0 33.5 16.1
Current Account ($ bln, BOP basis)
Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08
4.27 3.71 2.76 9.54 -1.54
0.96 0.15 3.99
Non-Performing Loans (pct of total lending, end-quarter)
Q3 04 Q3 04 Q2 04 Q1 04 Q4 03 Q3 03 Q2 03
11.41 12.18 11.94 13.48 16.17 16.79 16.75
Foreign Reserves ($ bln, end-quarter)
Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q4 07
138.4 131.3 120.8 116.5 111.0 103.5 106.1 110.0 87.6
Total Foreign Debt ($ bln, end-quarter)
Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07 Q1 07 Q4 06 Q3 06 Q2 06
66.4 61.7 60.7 58.6 59.31 59.64 60.02 57.83
Debt Service Ratio (pct, end-quarter)
Q4 06 Q4 05 Q4 04* Q4 03 Q3 03 Q2 03 Q1 03 Q4 02 Q3 02
8.2 10.8 8.5 16.0 18.8 12.3 23.1 19.6 18.8
Prime Rate (Minimum Lending Rate) (end-quarter, annual % terms)
Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07 Q1 07 Q4 06 Q3 06
6.875 6.8-7.1 6.8-7.1 7.0-7.5 7.0-7.5 7.0-7.5 7.75
8.0
ANNUAL DATA:
GDP Growth (yr/yr pct terms)
2008* 2007* 2006* 2005* 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
2.5 4.9 5.1 4.6 6.3 7.1 5.3 2.2 4.8
Exports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
2009* 2008* 2007* 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
-13.9 15.9 17.3 17.0 15.0 21.6 17.4 5.7
Imports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
2009* 2008* 2007* 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
-24.9 26.5 9.1 7.9 25.9 25.7 17.1 4.4
Current Account ($ bln, BOP basis)(adjusted)
2009* 2008* 2007* 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
20.3 1.6 15.8 2.2
7.85 2.77 4.78 4.69
Headline Consumer Price Index (yr/yr pct terms)
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
-0.9 5.5 2.3 4.7 4.5 2.7 1.8 0.7 1.6
Foreign Reserves ($ bln, year-end)
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
138.4 111.0 87.6 67.0 52.1 49.8 43.1 38.9 33.0 32.7
Government Budget Balance (bln baht, fiscal year (Oct-Sept)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
-83.7 -130.2 -55.2 +11.9 -13.0 -19.3 -170.3
Baht/U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate (average)
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
34.33 33.36 34.56 37.92 40.27 40.27 41.53 43.00
Prime Rate (Minimum Lending Rate) (annual pct terms)
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
6.9-7.1 7.75-8.0 6.25-6.5 5.5-5.75 5.5-5.75 6.5
7.0
Domestic Vehicle Sales (yr/yr pct terms)
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
-10.8 -2.5 -7.5 -3.0 12.4 17.4 30.2 37.8 13.3
Population (mln, year-end)
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
62.83 62.83 62.42 61.97 63.08 62.80 62.31 61.88
Sources: Bank of Thailand
National Economic and Social Development Board
Commerce Ministry
Finance Ministry
Budget Bureau
Toyota Motor Thailand
Federation of Thai Industries
($1 = 33.13 baht) Keywords: THAILAND ECONOMY/INDICATORS (Reporting by Vithoon Amorn; e-mail: bangkok.newsroom@reuters.com; Reuters Messaging vithoon.amorn.reuters.com@reuters.net;+662 6489737) COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Reuters 2010. All rights reserved. The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters.
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