DATE LOCAL/GMT INDICATOR/EVENT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
------------------------Mar 7 week----------------------------
Wed 1430/0730 BOT rate review 6th wkly 1.25% 1.25%
Thu 1030/0330 Consumer confidence Feb - 71.9 (+)
Fri 1430/0730 Foreign reserves Mar 5 - $141.8 bln
Fri 1430/0730 BOT FX swaps Mar 5 - $12.5 bln
------------------------Mar 14 week-----------------------------
Fri 1430/0730 Foreign reserves Mar 12 - -
Fri 1430/0730 BOT FX swaps Mar 12 - -
In July 2003, the Bank of Thailand repaid all multilateral loans Thailand took between 1997 and 1999 under a package arranged by the International Monetary Fund.
Thailand had foreign reserves of $141.8 billion on Feb. 26.
THAILAND ECONOMIC DATA
The following is a list of the latest Thai economic data (*indicates preliminary numbers, # denotes projected numbers):
MONTHLY DATA:
Exports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May
31.4 26.2 17.3 -2.6 -8.3 -17.9 -25.7 -26.4
26.5
Imports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May
50.1 33.0 -0.3 -19.0 -18.2 -33.8 -31.7 -26.3
34.3
Current Account ($ bln, BOP basis)
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May
2.0 0.76 1.34 2.2 1.30 1.92 0.54 0.64 1.55
Manufacturing Production Index (yr/yr pct terms)
Jan* Dec* Nov* Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr
28.6 35.9 9.2 0.5 1.9 -9.9 -7.0 -8.2 -9.8
9.6
Headline Consumer Price Index (yr/yr pct terms)
Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr
+3.7 +4.1 +3.5 +1.9 +0.4 -1.0 -1.0 -4.4 -4.0 -3.3 -0.9
Foreign Reserves ($ bln, month-end)
Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun
141.8 142.4 138.4 139.8 135.3 131.3 127.3 123.4 120.8
Consumer Confidence Index for Overall Economy
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar
71.9 70.4 69.1 68.0 68.4 67.4 66.3 65.4 64.3 65.1 66.0
(A reading below 100 indicates relatively weak consumer
confidence compared with Thailand's pre-1997 sentiment, while a
figure above 100 reflects relatively strong confidence).
Business Sentiment Index
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar
50.4 50.4 49.0 50.3 49.0 46.1 45.0 46.3 45.4 39.2 40.0
(A reading above 50 indicates business sentiment has improved,
while a figure below 50 shows sentiment has worsened).
Baht Exchange Rate (per U.S. dlr, month-end)
Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun
33.088 33.15 33.35 33.21 33.43 33.55 34.01 34.04 34.02
Industrial Capacity Utilisation (pct of installed capacity)
Jan* Dec* Nov* Oct* Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar
68.0 70.4 65.3 66.5 65.4 60.4 61.8 60.2 60.6 56.7 62.4
Total Domestic Vehicle Sales (yr/yr pct terms)
Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May
+54.5 +22.2 +23.8 +8.8 +1.6 -8.2 -3.6 -13.4 -26.2
Foreign Debt ($ bln, month-end)
Apr* Mar* Feb* Jan* Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul
65.7 66.4 63.9 63.79 61.7 61.6 60.7 59.8 59.8 59.8
QUARTERLY DATA:
GDP Growth (yr/yr pct terms)
Q4 09* Q3 09* Q2 09* Q1 09* Q4 09 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08
5.8 -2.7 -4.9 -7.1
4.2 2.9 5.2 6.4
Exports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q4 07
12.2 -17.5 -26.1 -19.9
10.4 26.1 28.6 23.7 24.0
Imports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q407
1.4 -28.3 -33.0
37.5 5.3 39.4 30.0 33.5 16.1
Current Account ($ bln, BOP basis)
Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08
4.27 3.71 2.76 9.54 -1.54
0.96 0.15 3.99
Non-Performing Loans (pct of total lending, end-quarter)
Q3 04 Q3 04 Q2 04 Q1 04 Q4 03 Q3 03 Q2 03
11.41 12.18 11.94 13.48 16.17 16.79 16.75
Foreign Reserves ($ bln, end-quarter)
Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08 Q1 08 Q4 07
138.4 131.3 120.8 116.5 111.0 103.5 106.1 110.0 87.6
Total Foreign Debt ($ bln, end-quarter)
Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07 Q1 07 Q4 06 Q3 06 Q2 06
66.4 61.7 60.7 58.6 59.31 59.64 60.02 57.83
Debt Service Ratio (pct, end-quarter)
Q4 06 Q4 05 Q4 04* Q4 03 Q3 03 Q2 03 Q1 03 Q4 02 Q3 02
8.2 10.8 8.5 16.0 18.8 12.3 23.1 19.6 18.8
Prime Rate (Minimum Lending Rate) (end-quarter, annual % terms)
Q1 08 Q4 07 Q3 07 Q2 07 Q1 07 Q4 06 Q3 06
6.875 6.8-7.1 6.8-7.1 7.0-7.5 7.0-7.5 7.0-7.5 7.75
8.0
ANNUAL DATA:
GDP Growth (yr/yr pct terms)
2009* 2008* 2007* 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
-2.3 2.5 4.9 5.1 4.6 6.3 7.1 5.3 2.2
Exports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
2009* 2008* 2007* 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
-13.9 15.9 17.3 17.0 15.0 21.6 17.4 5.7
Imports (yr/yr pct terms, BOP basis)
2009* 2008* 2007* 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
-24.9 26.5 9.1 7.9 25.9 25.7 17.1 4.4
Current Account ($ bln, BOP basis)(adjusted)
2009* 2008* 2007* 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
20.3 1.6 15.8 2.2
7.85 2.77 4.78 4.69
Headline Consumer Price Index (yr/yr pct terms)
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
-0.9 5.5 2.3 4.7 4.5 2.7 1.8 0.7 1.6
Foreign Reserves ($ bln, year-end)
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
138.4 111.0 87.6 67.0 52.1 49.8 43.1 38.9 33.0 32.7
Government Budget Balance (bln baht, fiscal year (Oct-Sept)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
-83.7 -130.2 -55.2 +11.9 -13.0 -19.3 -170.3
Baht/U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate (average)
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
34.33 33.36 34.56 37.92 40.27 40.27 41.53 43.00
Prime Rate (Minimum Lending Rate) (annual pct terms)
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
6.9-7.1 7.75-8.0 6.25-6.5 5.5-5.75 5.5-5.75 6.5
7.0
Domestic Vehicle Sales (yr/yr pct terms)
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
-10.8 -2.5 -7.5 -3.0 12.4 17.4 30.2 37.8 13.3
Population (mln, year-end)
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
62.83 62.83 62.42 61.97 63.08 62.80 62.31 61.88
Sources: Bank of Thailand
National Economic and Social Development Board
Commerce Ministry
Finance Ministry
Budget Bureau
Toyota Motor Thailand
Federation of Thai Industries
($1 = 32.60 baht) Keywords: THAILAND ECONOMY/INDICATORS (Reporting by Vithoon Amorn; e-mail: bangkok.newsroom@reuters.com; Reuters Messaging vithoon.amorn.reuters.com@reuters.net;+662 6489737) COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Reuters 2010. All rights reserved. The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters.
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