Fitch Ratings expects to assign a 'BBB' rating to TSASC
Inc.'s (TSASC) tobacco settlement asset-backed bonds, series 2006-1
(the series 2006-1 bonds). The series 2006-1 bonds consist of four
tranches of turbo term bonds totaling approximately $1.36 billion and
possess legal final maturities of June 1, 2022, 2026, 2035 and 2043.
The expected ratings of the above referenced bonds address the
issuer's ability to make timely payments of the series 2006-1 bond's
principal and interest by their respective maturity dates.
The ratings are based on the structure of the bonds issued, and the credit quality of the collateral securing the bonds, which consists of annual payments and strategic contribution payments by the three largest domestic tobacco manufacturers - Philip Morris Inc., R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co., and Lorillard Tobacco Co. (the original participating manufacturers (OPMs)) - under a master settlement agreement (MSA) entered into with the attorneys general of 46 states, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, the Commonwealth of Northern Mariana Islands, American Samoa, and Guam. Fitch's view of the credit quality of the collateral takes into account two fundamental characteristics of the MSA: since payments under the MSA are based on the relative market share of the domestic tobacco manufacturers, the payment obligation can be considered an industry obligation, which Fitch currently deems to be rated 'BBB-' on an unsecured basis; and the MSA should survive the bankruptcy of a domestic tobacco manufacturer, making it more likely that the manufacturer would continue to make payments under the MSA ahead of its unsecured indebtedness. These are the major characteristics of the MSA that support and, at the same time, limit the expected rating of the tobacco settlement senior bonds to 'BBB'.
Accordingly, the expected rating on this transaction is linked to and will move with Fitch's future assessment of the tobacco industry's overall credit quality. The credit quality of the industry, in turn, will be significantly influenced by the underlying ratings of the three major domestic tobacco manufacturers and Fitch's view of the relative strength of those three manufacturers within the overall domestic tobacco industry. For a more detailed discussion of the industry, see Fitch Research on 'U.S. Tobacco Industry Report -- On the Verge of Industry Altering Decisions' dated Oct. 10, 2005 available on Fitch's website at www.fitchratings.com.
In addition, since payments under the MSA are subject to various adjustments and offsets based on several factors, including cigarette consumption, Fitch developed a series of cash flow stresses to determine the transaction's ability to make timely payments of each bond's accreted value on their respective maturity dates. Therefore, the expected rating is also based on the transaction's ability to withstand cash flow stresses commensurate with a 'BBB' rating for the series 2006-1 bonds. Finally, the expected ratings reflect the transaction's sound legal and financial structures.
Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
The ratings are based on the structure of the bonds issued, and the credit quality of the collateral securing the bonds, which consists of annual payments and strategic contribution payments by the three largest domestic tobacco manufacturers - Philip Morris Inc., R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co., and Lorillard Tobacco Co. (the original participating manufacturers (OPMs)) - under a master settlement agreement (MSA) entered into with the attorneys general of 46 states, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, the Commonwealth of Northern Mariana Islands, American Samoa, and Guam. Fitch's view of the credit quality of the collateral takes into account two fundamental characteristics of the MSA: since payments under the MSA are based on the relative market share of the domestic tobacco manufacturers, the payment obligation can be considered an industry obligation, which Fitch currently deems to be rated 'BBB-' on an unsecured basis; and the MSA should survive the bankruptcy of a domestic tobacco manufacturer, making it more likely that the manufacturer would continue to make payments under the MSA ahead of its unsecured indebtedness. These are the major characteristics of the MSA that support and, at the same time, limit the expected rating of the tobacco settlement senior bonds to 'BBB'.
Accordingly, the expected rating on this transaction is linked to and will move with Fitch's future assessment of the tobacco industry's overall credit quality. The credit quality of the industry, in turn, will be significantly influenced by the underlying ratings of the three major domestic tobacco manufacturers and Fitch's view of the relative strength of those three manufacturers within the overall domestic tobacco industry. For a more detailed discussion of the industry, see Fitch Research on 'U.S. Tobacco Industry Report -- On the Verge of Industry Altering Decisions' dated Oct. 10, 2005 available on Fitch's website at www.fitchratings.com.
In addition, since payments under the MSA are subject to various adjustments and offsets based on several factors, including cigarette consumption, Fitch developed a series of cash flow stresses to determine the transaction's ability to make timely payments of each bond's accreted value on their respective maturity dates. Therefore, the expected rating is also based on the transaction's ability to withstand cash flow stresses commensurate with a 'BBB' rating for the series 2006-1 bonds. Finally, the expected ratings reflect the transaction's sound legal and financial structures.
Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.