DJ SWEF: Annual Audited Accounts 2018
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Starwood European Real Estate Finance Ltd (SWEF) SWEF: Annual Audited Accounts 2018 26-March-2019 / 07:00 GMT/BST Dissemination of a Regulatory Announcement that contains inside information according to REGULATION (EU) No 596/2014 (MAR), transmitted by EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. 26 March 2019 Starwood European Real Estate Finance Limited Annual Report and Audited Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December 2018 The Company has today published its annual financial report for the year ended 31 December 2018 and has made it available online at www.starwoodeuropeanfinance.com [1]. Starwood European Real Estate Finance Limited is an investment company listed on the main market of the London Stock Exchange with an investment objective to provide Shareholders with regular dividends and an attractive total return while limiting downside risk, through the origination, execution, acquisition and servicing of a diversified portfolio of real estate debt investments in the UK and the wider European Union's internal market. The Group is the largest London-listed vehicle to provide investors with pure play exposure to real estate lending. The Group's assets are managed by Starwood European Finance Partners Limited, an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of the Starwood Capital Group. Key Highlights Year ended Year ended 31 December 2018 31 December 2017 NAV per Ordinary Share 102.66 p 102.17 p Share Price 102.00 p 109.50 p NAV total return(1) 7.1% 7.2% Share Price total return(1) (1.0%) 7.6% Total Net Assets GBP385.0 m GBP383.1 m Loans advanced at amortised GBP413.4 m GBP370.0 m cost (including accrued income) Financial assets held at fair GBP21.9 m GBP22.1 m value through profit or loss (including associated accrued income) Cash and Cash Equivalents GBP28.2 m GBP11.8 m Amount drawn under Revolving GBP68.8 m GBP13.3 m Credit Facility (excluding accrued interest) Dividends per Ordinary Share 6.5 p 6.5 p Invested Loan Portfolio 7.4% 7.5% unlevered annualised total return(1) Invested Loan Portfolio 8.0% 7.7% levered annualised total return(1) Ongoing charges percentage(1) 1.1% 1.0% Weighted average portfolio LTV 16.7% 14.5% to Group first GBP(1) Weighted average portfolio LTV 64.1% 63.2% to Group last GBP(1) (1) Further explanation and definitions of the calculation is contained in the section "Alternative Performance Measures" at the end of this financial report. For further information, please contact: Duncan MacPherson - Starwood Capital - 020 7016 3655 Full text of annual financial report for the year ended 31 December 2018 Objective and Investment Policy INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Starwood European Real Estate Finance Limited (the "Company"), together with its wholly owned subsidiaries Starfin Public Holdco 1 Limited, Starfin Public Holdco 2 Limited, Starfin Lux S.à.r.l, Starfin Lux 3 S.à.r.l, and Starfin Lux 4 S.à.r.l, (collectively the "Group"), is to provide its shareholders with regular dividends and an attractive total return while limiting downside risk, through the origination, execution, acquisition and servicing of a diversified portfolio of real estate debt investments (including debt instruments) in the UK and the wider European Union's internal market. INVESTMENT POLICY The Company invests in a diversified portfolio of real estate debt investments (including debt instruments) in the UK and the wider European Union's internal market. Whilst investment opportunities in the secondary markets will be considered from time to time, the Company's predominant focus is to be a direct primary originator of real estate debt investments on the basis that this approach is expected to deliver better pricing, structure and execution control and a client facing relationship that may lead to further investment opportunities. The Company will attempt to limit downside risk by focusing on secured debt with both quality collateral and contractual protection. The Company anticipates that the typical loan term will be between three and seven years. Whilst the Company retains absolute discretion to make investments for either shorter or longer periods, at least 75 per cent of total loans by value will be for a term of seven years or less. The Company's portfolio is intended to be appropriately diversified by geography, real estate sector type, loan type and counterparty. The Company will pursue investments across the commercial real estate debt asset class through senior loans, subordinated loans and mezzanine loans, bridge loans, selected loan-on-loan financings and other debt instruments. The split between senior, subordinated and mezzanine loans will be determined by the Investment Manager in its absolute discretion having regard to the Company's target return objectives. However, it is anticipated that whole loans will comprise approximately 40-50 per cent of the portfolio, subordinated and mezzanine loans approximately 40-50 per cent and other loans (whether whole loans or subordinated loans) between 0-20 per cent (including bridge loans, selected loan-on-loan financings and other debt instruments). Pure development loans will not, in aggregate, exceed 25 per cent of the Company's Net Asset Value ("NAV") calculated at the time of investment. The Company may originate loans which are either floating or fixed rate. The Company may seek to enhance the returns of selected loan investments through the economic transfer of the most senior portion of such loan investments which may be by way of syndication, sale, assignment, sub-participation or other financing (including true sale securitisation) to the same maturity as the original loan (i.e. "matched funding") while retaining a significant proportion as a subordinate investment. It is anticipated that where this is undertaken it would generate a positive net interest rate spread and enhance returns for the Company. It is not anticipated that, under current market conditions, these techniques will be deployed with respect to any mezzanine or other already subordinated loan investments. The proceeds released by such strategies will be available to the Company for investment in accordance with the investment policy. Loan to Value ("LTV") The Company will typically seek to originate debt where the effective loan to real estate value ratio of any investment is between 60 per cent and 80 per cent at the time of origination or acquisition. In exceptional circumstances that justify it, the ratio may be increased to an absolute maximum of 85 per cent. In any event, the Company will typically seek to achieve a blended portfolio LTV of no more than 75 per cent (based on the initial valuations at the time of loan origination or participation acquisition) once fully invested. Geography The Company's portfolio will be originated from the larger and more established real estate markets in the European Union's internal market. UK exposure is expected to represent the majority of the Company's portfolio. Outside of the UK, investment in the European Union's internal market will mainly be focussed on Northern and Southern Europe. Northern European markets include Germany, France, Scandinavia, Netherlands, Belgium, Poland, Switzerland, Ireland, Slovakia and the Czech Republic. Southern European markets include Italy and Spain. The Company may however originate investments in other countries in the European Union's internal market to the extent that it identifies attractive investment opportunities on a risk adjusted basis. The Company will not invest more than 50 per cent of the Company's NAV (calculated at the time of investment) in any single country save in relation to the UK, where there shall be no such limit. When and if the UK ceases to be a member of the European Union or in the event that any other member state ceases to be a member of the European Union's internal market, it will not automatically cease to be eligible for investment. Real Estate Sector and Property Type The Company's portfolio will focus on lending into commercial real estate sectors including office, retail, logistics, light industrial, hospitality, student accommodation, residential for sale and multi-family rented residential. Investments in student accommodation and residential for sale are expected to be limited primarily to the UK, while multi-family investments are expected to be limited primarily to the UK, Germany and Scandinavia. Further, not more than 30 per cent, in aggregate, of the Company's NAV, calculated at the time of investment, will be invested in loans relating to residential for sale. No more than 50 per cent of the Company's NAV will be allocated to any single real estate sector of the UK, except for the UK office sector which is limited to 75 per cent of the Company's NAV. Counterparty and Property Diversification No more than 20 per cent of the Company's NAV, calculated at the time of investment, will be exposed to any one borrower legal entity. No single investment, or aggregate investments secured on a single property or group of properties, will exceed 20 per cent of the Company's Net Asset Value, calculated at the time of investment. Corporate Borrowings Company or investment level recourse borrowings may be used from time-to-time on a short term basis for bridging investments, financing
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repurchases of shares or managing working capital requirements, including foreign exchange hedging facilities and on a longer term basis for the purpose of enhancing returns to Shareholders and/ or to facilitate the underwriting of whole loans with a view to syndication at a later point. In this regard, the Company is limited to aggregate short and long term borrowings at the time of the relevant drawdown in an amount equivalent to a maximum of 30 per cent of NAV but longer term borrowings will be limited to 20 per cent of NAV in any event. Hedging The Company will not enter into derivative transactions for purely speculative purposes. However, the Company's investments will typically be made in the currency of the country where the underlying real estate assets are located. This will largely be in Sterling and Euros. However, investments may be considered in other European currencies, and the Company may implement measures designed to protect the investments against material movements in the exchange rate between Sterling, being the Company's reporting currency, and the currency in which certain investments are made. The analysis as to whether such measures should be implemented will take into account periodic interest, principal distributions or dividends, as well as the expected date of realisation of the investment. The Company may bear a level of currency risk that could otherwise be hedged where it considers that bearing such risk is advisable. The Company will only enter into hedging contracts, such as currency swap agreements, futures contracts, options and forward currency exchange and other derivative contracts when they are available in a timely manner and on terms acceptable to it. The Company reserves the right to terminate any hedging arrangement in its absolute discretion. The Company may, but shall not be obliged to, engage in a variety of interest rate management techniques, particularly to the extent the underlying investments are floating rate loans which are not fully hedged at the borrower level (by way of floating to fixed rate swap, cap or other instrument). Any instruments chosen may seek on the one hand to mitigate the economic effect of interest rate changes on the values of, and returns on, some of the Company's assets, and on the other hand help the Company achieve its risk management objectives. The Company may seek to hedge its entitlement under any loan investment to receive floating rate interest. Cash Strategy Cash held by the Company pending investment or distribution will be held in either cash or cash equivalents, or various real estate related instruments or collateral, including but not limited to money market instruments or funds, bonds, commercial paper or other debt obligations with banks or other counterparties having a A- or higher credit rating (as determined by any reputable rating agency selected by the Company), Agency RMBS (residential mortgage backed securities issued by government-backed agencies) and AAA rated CMBS (commercial mortgage-backed securities). Transactions with Starwood Capital Group or Other Accounts Without prejudice to the pre-existing co-investment arrangements described below, the Company may acquire assets from, or sell assets to, or lend to, companies within the Starwood Capital Group or any fund, company, limited partnership or other account managed or advised by any member of the Starwood Capital Group ("Other Accounts"). In order to manage the potential conflicts of interest that may arise as a result of such transactions, any such proposed transaction may only be entered into if the independent Directors of the Company have reviewed and approved the terms of the transaction, complied with the conflict of interest provisions in the Registered Collective Investment Scheme Rules 2015 issued by the Guernsey Financial Services Commission (the "Commission") under The Protection of Investors (Bailiwick of Guernsey) Law, 1987, as amended, and, where required by the Listing Rules, Shareholder approval is obtained in accordance with the listing rules issued by the UK Listing Authority. Typically, such transactions will only be approved if: (i) an independent valuation has been obtained in relation to the asset in question; and (ii) the terms are at least as favourable to the Company as would be any comparable arrangement effected on normal commercial terms negotiated at arms' length between the relevant person and an independent party, taking into account, amongst other things, the timing of the transaction. Co-investment Arrangements Starwood Capital Group and certain Other Accounts are party to certain pre-existing co-investment commitments and it is anticipated that similar arrangements may be entered into in the future. As a result, the Company may invest alongside Starwood Capital Group and Other Accounts in various investments. Where the Company makes any such co-investments they will be made at the same time, and on substantially the same economic terms, as those offered to Starwood Capital Group and the Other Accounts. UK Listing Authority Investment Restrictions The Company currently complies with the investment restrictions set out below and will continue to do so for so long as they remain requirements of the UK Listing Authority: * neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries will conduct any trading activity which is significant in the context of its group as a whole; * the Company will avoid cross-financing between businesses forming part of its investment portfolio; * the Company will avoid the operation of common treasury functions as between the Company and investee companies; * not more than 10 per cent, in aggregate, of the Company's NAV will be invested in other listed closed-ended investment funds; and * the Company must, at all times, invest and manage its assets in a way which is consistent with its object of spreading investment risk and in accordance with the published investment policy. The Directors do not currently intend to propose any material changes to the Company's investment policy, save in the case of exceptional or unforeseen circumstances. As required by the Listing Rules, any material change to the investment policy of the Company will be made only with the approval of shareholders. Financial Highlights Key Highlights Year ended Year ended 31 December 2018 31 December 2017 NAV per Ordinary Share 102.66 p 102.17 p Share Price 102.00 p 109.50 p NAV total return(1) 7.1% 7.2% Share Price total return(1) (1.0%) 7.6% Total Net Assets GBP385.0 m GBP383.1 m Loans advanced at amortised GBP413.4 m GBP370.0 m cost (including accrued income) Financial assets held at fair GBP21.9 m GBP22.1 m value through profit or loss (including associated accrued income) Cash and Cash Equivalents GBP28.2 m GBP11.8 m Amount drawn under Revolving GBP68.8 m GBP13.3 m Credit Facility (excluding accrued interest) Dividends per Ordinary Share 6.5 p 6.5 p Invested Loan Portfolio 7.4% 7.5% unlevered annualised total return(1) Invested Loan Portfolio 8.0% 7.7% levered annualised total return(1) Ongoing charges percentage(1) 1.1% 1.0% Weighted average portfolio LTV 16.7% 14.5% to Group first GBP(1) Weighted average portfolio LTV 64.1% 63.2% to Group last GBP(1) (1) Further explanation and definitions of the calculation is contained in the section "Alternative Performance Measures" at the end of this financial report. SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE As at 31 December 2018 the NAV was 102.66 pence per Ordinary Share (2017: 102.17 pence) and the share price was 102.00 pence (2017: 109.50 pence). Source: Thomson Reuters Chairman's Statement STEPHEN SMITH | Chairman 25 March 2019 Dear Shareholder, It is my pleasure to present the Annual Report and Audited Consolidated Financial Statements of Starwood European Real Estate Finance Limited for the year ended 31 December 2018. OVERVIEW The Group had another successful origination year in 2018 with GBP208 million of new commitments made to borrowers. With repayments and amortisation at a more typical level than in 2017, net commitments increased by GBP70.8 million during the year. The Group declared an aggregate dividend for the year of 6.5 pence per Ordinary Share. The Group's NAV for the year remained stable and NAV total return (including dividends) was 7.0 per cent. The Company's share price total return across the financial year was 1.0 per cent downward, reflecting weaker equity market sentiment generally across several asset classes in late 2018. As at 31 December 2018, the Group had investments and commitments of GBP477.2 million (of which GBP45.5 million was committed but unfunded at the end of the year). The average maturity of the Group's loan book was 2.8 years. The Group had net debt of GBP40.6 million leaving unused liquidity facilities of GBP73 million, available to fund undrawn commitments and new lending. The gross annualised levered total return of the invested loan portfolio was 8.0 per cent. The Net Asset Value ("NAV") was GBP385.0 million, being 102.66 pence per Ordinary Share. The table below shows the loan commitment and repayment profile over the last five years. 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 New loans to GBP143.2m GBP118.7m GBP175.9m GBP245.8m GBP208.0m borrowers (commitment) Loan repayments and -GBP48.8m -GBP49.0m -GBP129.3m -GBP213.1m -GBP137.2m amortisation Net Investment GBP94.4m GBP69.7m GBP46.6m GBP32.7m GBP70.8m
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The Group continues to see good opportunities to deploy capital in the target markets. The origination pipeline is healthy, with a number of transactions under review which present attractive risk adjusted returns. The Group is cautious about raising equity until it is confident that appropriate transactions may be closed in sufficient volume to at least match an underlying repayment trend averaging 35 to 40 per cent of the loan book per annum. New loan closings and repayments tend to be irregular and are often dependent on factors outside the Group's control, though there is a trend towards greater activity pre-holidays in Easter, summer and Christmas. The Group will continue to closely monitor markets and will adjust its capital structure and its appetite for new loans consistent with the availability of suitable investment opportunities. SHARE ISSUANCE AND SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE The year end share price was 102 pence reflecting a 0.7 per cent discount to NAV. The Company has typically traded at around a 4 to 8 per cent premium in the last few years. We believe this recent downward movement is a reflection of general market sentiment, particularly towards the end of the year, and we note that the share price has moved back to a premium in early 2019. At the last Annual General Meeting ("AGM"), the Company sought and received authority to disapply Pre- Emption Rights on the allotment of equity securities for up to 10 per cent of the Ordinary Shares in issue and, at an Extraordinary General Meeting ("EGM") convened shortly thereafter, for a further 10 per cent. As at the date of this report, this authority has not been utilised. The Company intends to seek approval to renew these authorities at the upcoming AGM and EGM. As noted above, the Company is currently GBP40.6 million drawn on its revolving credit facilities of GBP114 million (net of cash), with GBP45.5 million of commitments unfunded, meaning it has approximately GBP28 million of available capacity which is undrawn on its revolving credit facilities (absent of any repayments). If the net investment in 2019 is at a similar level to 2018 (GBP70.8 million) then the Company would need to issue more than 10 per cent of existing Ordinary Shares to fund the additional commitments. The Directors believe that having access to capital within a short time frame is important to maintaining access to attractive investment opportunities while at the same time ensuring that the Company does not unnecessarily incur cash drag by raising equity in advance of deployment opportunities (which could negatively impact the Company's dividend target). The Directors believe that such access to capital will also have the following benefits for the Company and the shareholders: * to enable the Company to pursue larger investment opportunities and hence broaden the range of lending that can be undertaken; * to enable the Company to further increase the diversification of the Company's portfolio of investments; * increasing the size of the Company should help to make the Company more attractive to a wider investor base; * having a greater number of Shares in issue is likely to provide shareholders with increased secondary market liquidity; and * the Company's fixed running costs would be spread across a larger equity capital base, thereby reducing the Company's ongoing expenses per Share. In order to take advantage of such opportunities, the Directors believe it is appropriate for the Company to renew these existing authorities at the forthcoming AGM, in respect of issuance of up to 10 per cent of the Ordinary Shares in issue, and at a separate EGM, to be convened for shortly after the AGM, in respect of issuance of a further 10 per cent. Any new Shares issued will be issued at a minimum issue price equal to the prevailing NAV per ordinary Share at the time of allotment together with a premium intended to cover the costs and expenses of the relevant issue. The explanation of the advantages for the Company and its shareholders of granting such authorities is set out in the Notice of the AGM and in a notice of EGM which is intended to be published shortly. DIVIDENDS Total dividends of 6.5 pence per Ordinary Share were declared in relation to the year ended 31 December 2018. Dividend Payment Amount Period declared date per share 1 January 2018 to 31 March 2018 16 Apr 2018 17 May 1.625p 2018 1 April 2018 to 30 June 2018 27 Jul 2018 31 Aug 1.625p 2018 1 July 2018 to 30 September 23 Oct 2018 16 Nov 1.625p 2018 2018 1 October 2018 to 31 December 23 Jan 2018 22 Feb 1.625p 2018 2019 Total 6.5p NEW ACCOUNTING STANDARDS IFRS 9 "Financial Instruments" became effective for annual periods beginning on or after 1 January 2018. The Group has applied IFRS 9 retrospectively which did not result in a change to the classification or measurement of financial instruments. A detailed description of IFRS 9 adoption is provided in Note 2(b)(i) of these consolidated financial statements. BREXIT AND MACRO-ECONOMIC OUTLOOK The United Kingdom's imminent departure from the European Union, with or without an agreement, represents a potential threat to the UK economy as well as wider Europe. On a cyclical view, national economies across Europe appear to be heading at best towards lower growth and in some cases towards recession. The potential impact of Brexit could have a further destabilising effect. To some extent the potential impact of an unsatisfactory UK exit from the EU has already been priced into markets and forecasts, but significant headwinds could arise should there be an unstructured settlement. It is extremely difficult in the circumstances to anticipate the potential impact on markets, so your Board is keeping a particularly watchful eye on the macro position. PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK The strategy to incrementally grow the overall size of the Group, to minimise cash drag from repayments and to use the revolving credit facility where appropriate, will continue to be our focus during 2019. We anticipate that we will build on the successes of the recent past and the Directors remain optimistic about the prospects and opportunities for the Group in the year ahead. The Board will continue to inform you of progress by way of the quarterly fact sheets and investment updates as deals are signed. On behalf of the Board, I would like to close by thanking Shareholders for your commitment and I look forward to briefing you on the Group's progress later this year. Stephen Smith | Chairman 25 March 2019 Strategic and Business Review Strategic Report The Strategic Report describes the business of the Group and details the principal risks and uncertainties associated with its activities. OBJECTIVE, INVESTMENT POLICY AND BUSINESS MODEL The Objective and Investment Policy describes the Group's strategy and business model. The Investment Manager is Starwood European Finance Partners Limited, a Company incorporated in Guernsey with registered number 55819 and regulated by the Guernsey Financial Services Commission (the "Commission"). The Investment Manager has appointed Starwood Capital Europe Advisers, LLP (the "Investment Adviser"), an English limited liability partnership authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, to provide investment advice, pursuant to an Investment Advisory Agreement. CURRENT AND FUTURE DEVELOPMENT A review of the year and outlook is contained in the Investment Highlights and Portfolio Review sections of the Investment Manager's Report and within the Chairman's Statement. PERFORMANCE A review of performance is contained in the Investment Highlights and Portfolio Review sections of the Investment Manager's Report. A number of performance measures are considered by the Board, the Investment Manager and Investment Adviser in assessing the Company's success in achieving its objectives. The Key Performance Indicators ("KPIs") used are established industry measures to show the progress and performance of the Group and are as follows: * The portfolio yield, both levered and unlevered; * The payment of targeted dividends; * The movement in NAV per Ordinary Share; * The movement in share price and the discount / premium to NAV; * Ongoing charges as a percentage of undiluted NAV; and * Weighted average loan to value for the portfolio. Details of the KPIs are shown in Financial Highlights section. RISK MANAGEMENT It is the role of the Board to review and manage all risks associated with the Group, both those impacting the performance and the prospects of the Group and those which threaten the ongoing viability. It is the role of the Board to mitigate these either directly or through the delegation of certain responsibilities to the Audit Committee and Investment Manager. The Board performs a review of a risk matrix at each Board meeting. The Board considers the following principal risks could impact the performance and prospects of the Group but do not threaten its ability to continue in operation and meet its liabilities. Consequently, it has put in place mitigation plans to manage those identified risks. Long Term Strategic Risk The Group's targeted returns are based on estimates and assumptions that are inherently subject to significant business and economic uncertainties and contingencies and, consequently, the actual rate of return may be materially lower than the targeted returns. In addition, the pace of investment has in the past and may in the future be slower than expected or the principal on loans may be repaid earlier than anticipated, causing the return on affected
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investments to be less than expected. Furthermore, if repayments are not promptly re- invested this may result in cash drag, which may lower portfolio returns. As a result, the level of dividends to be paid by the Company may fluctuate and there is no guarantee that any such dividends will be paid. The shares may, therefore, trade at a discount to NAV per share and shareholders may be unable to realise their investments through the secondary market at NAV per share. The Board monitors the level of premium or discount of share price to NAV per share. While the Directors may seek to mitigate any discount to NAV per share through the discount management mechanisms set out in this Annual Report, there can be no guarantee that they will do so or that such mechanisms will be successful. Please see Report of the Directors for further information on the discount management mechanisms. The Investment Adviser provides the Investment Manager and the Board with a weekly report on pipeline opportunities, which includes an analysis of the strength of the pipeline and the returns available. The Directors also regularly receive information on the performance of the existing loans, including the performance of the underlying assets and the likelihood of any early repayments, which may impact returns. The Board monitors investment strategy and performance on an ongoing basis and regularly reviews the Investment Objective and Investment Policy in light of prevailing investor sentiment to ensure the Company remains attractive to its shareholders. Interest Rate Risk The Group is subject to the risk that the loan income and income from the cash and cash equivalents will fluctuate due to movements in interbank rates. The loans in place at 31 December 2018 have been structured so that 19.9 per cent of the loans are fixed rate, which provides protection from downward interest rate movements to the overall portfolio (but also prevents the Group from benefitting from any interbank rate rises on these positions). In addition, whilst the remaining 80.1 per cent is classified as floating, 93.7 per cent of these loans are subject to interbank rate floors such that the interest cannot drop below a certain level, which offers some protection against downward interest rate risk. When reviewing future investments, the Investment Manager will continue to review such opportunities to protect against downward interest rate risk. The Board considers that the following principal risks could impact both the performance and prospects of the Group and could also threaten its ability to continue its operations and meet its liabilities but has identified the mitigating actions in place to manage them. Foreign Exchange Risk The majority of the Group's investments are Euro denominated. The Group is subject to the risk that the exchange rates move unfavourably and that a) foreign exchange losses on the loan principal are incurred and b) that interest payments received are lower than anticipated when converted back to Sterling and therefore returns are lower than the underwritten returns. The Group manages this risk by entering into forward contracts to hedge the currency risk. All non-Sterling loan principal is hedged back to Sterling to the maturity date of the loan. Interest payments are hedged for the period for which prepayment protection is in place. However, the risk remains that loans are repaid earlier than anticipated and forward contracts need to be broken early. In these circumstances, the forward curve may have moved since the forward contracts were placed which can impact the rate received. In addition, if the loan repays after the prepayment protection, interest after the prepayment-protected period may be received at a lower rate than anticipated leading to lower returns for that period. Conversely, the rate could have improved and returns may increase. As a consequence of the hedging strategy employed as outlined above, the Group is subject to the risk that it will need to post cash collateral against the mark to market on foreign exchange hedges which could lead to liquidity issues or leave the Group unable to hedge new non-Sterling investments. The Company had approximately GBP264.8 million of hedged notional exposure with two UK banks at 31 December 2018 (converted at 31 December 2018 foreign exchange ("FX") rates). As at 31 December 2018 the hedges with one of the counterparties was out of the money in an amount of GBP8.8 million. If at any time this mark to market exceeds GBP15 million, the Company is required to post collateral, subject to a minimum transfer amount of GBP1 million. This situation is monitored closely, however, and as at 31 December 2018, the Company had sufficient liquidity and credit available on the revolving credit facility to meet any cash collateral requirements. Market Deterioration Risk As mentioned earlier Brexit might have a destabilising impact on the UK economy and wider European economy as well. The Group's investments are comprised principally of debt investments in the UK, and the wider European Union's internal market and it is therefore exposed to economic movements and changes in these markets. Any deterioration in the global, UK or European economy could have a significant adverse effect on the activities of the Group and may result in significant loan defaults or impairments. In the event of a loan default in the portfolio, the Group is generally entitled to accelerate the loan and enforce security, but the process may be expensive and lengthy and the outcome is dependent on sufficient recoveries being made to repay the borrower's obligations and associated costs. Some of the investments held would rank behind senior debt tranches for repayment in the event that a borrower defaults, with the consequence of greater risk of partial or total loss. In addition, repayment of loans by the borrower at maturity could be subject to the availability of refinancing options, including the availability of senior and subordinated debt and is also subject to the underlying value of the real estate collateral at the date of maturity. In mitigation, the average weighted loan to value of the portfolio is 64.1 per cent. Therefore, the portfolio should be able to withstand a significant level of deterioration before credit losses are incurred. The Investment Adviser also mitigates the risk of credit losses by undertaking detailed due diligence on each loan. Whilst the precise scope of due diligence will depend on the proposed investment, such diligence will typically include independent valuations, building, measurement and environmental surveys, legal reviews of property title and key leases, and, where necessary, mechanical and engineering surveys, accounting and tax reviews and know your customer checks. The Investment Adviser, Investment Manager and Board also manage these risks by ensuring a diversification of investments in terms of geography, market and type of loan. The Investment Manager and Investment Adviser operate in accordance with the guidelines, investment limits and restrictions policy determined by the Board. The Directors review the portfolio against these guidelines, limits and restrictions on a regular basis. The Investment Adviser meets with all borrowers on a regular basis to monitor developments in respect of each loan and reports to the Investment Manager and the Board periodically and on an ad hoc basis where considered necessary. The majority of the Group's loans are held at amortised cost with only one investment (the credit linked notes) held at fair value through profit or loss at the reporting period end. The performance of each loan is reviewed quarterly by the Investment Adviser for any indicators of significant increase in credit risk, impaired or defaulted loans. The Investment Adviser also provides their assessment of any expected credit loss for each loan advanced. The results of the performance review and allowance for expected credit losses are discussed with the Investment Manager and the Board. Risk of Default Under the Revolving Credit Facilities The Group is subject to the risk that a borrower could be unable or unwilling to meet a commitment that it has entered into with the Group as outlined above under market deterioration risk. As a consequence of this, the Group could breach the covenants of its revolving credit facilities, and fall into default itself. A number of the measures the Group takes to mitigate market deterioration risk as outlined above, such as portfolio diversification and rigorous due diligence on investments and monitoring of borrowers, will also help to protect the Group from the risk of default under the revolving credit facility as this is only likely to occur as a consequence of borrower defaults or loan impairments. The Board regularly reviews the balances drawn under the credit facility against commitments and pipeline and reviews the performance under the agreed covenants. The loan covenants are also stress tested to test how robust they are to withstand default of the Group's investments. ASSESSMENT OF PROSPECTS The Group's strategy is central to an understanding of its prospects. The Group's focus is particularly on managing expected repayments in order to minimise any potential for cash drag and continuing to grow the Group by sourcing investments with good risk adjusted returns. The Group's prospects are assessed primarily through its strategic review process, which the Board participates fully in. The Directors' have assessed the prospect of the Group over a period of three years which has been selected because the strategic review covers a three-year period and this is also the approximate average remaining loan term. The Group updates its plan and financial forecasts on a monthly basis and detailed financial forecasts are maintained and reviewed by the Board regularly. ASSESSMENT OF VIABILITY
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