TUI AG (TUI)
TUI AG: Pre-Close Trading Update
24-Sep-2019 / 08:00 CET/CEST
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24 September 2019
TUI GROUP
Pre-Close Trading Update
Prior to entering its close period ahead of reporting its full year results
for the twelve months ending 30 September 2019 on 12 December 2019, TUI
Group announces the following update on current trading.
Chief Executive of TUI Group, Friedrich Joussen, commented:
"On Monday 23 September 2019, our competitor Thomas Cook UK Plc and
associated UK entities entered into compulsory liquidation. TUI is preparing
measures to support. Where TUI customers are booked on Thomas Cook Airlines
flights and these are no longer operated, replacement flights will be
offered. We are currently assessing the short term impact of Thomas Cook's
insolvency under the current circumstances, on the final week of our FY19
financial result.
"Our vertically integrated business model proves to be resilient, even in
this challenging market environment. Our Holiday Experiences business
continues to deliver strong results. Meanwhile, our Markets & Airlines
business faces a number of ongoing external challenges such as the grounding
of the 737 MAX aircraft, airline overcapacities and continued Brexit
uncertainty. The Summer 2019 season is however closing out in line with
expectations and we therefore reiterate FY19 underlying EBITA guidance
stated in our ad hoc announcement of March 2019 of approximately up to minus
26% compared with underlying EBITA rebased in FY18 of EUR1,177m.1
"These external challenges will continue in FY20 - therefore, we will focus
on becoming more cost competitive in our Markets & Airlines business to
protect and extend our market share where possible. Going forward, our two
key digital strategic initiatives will deliver greater customer reach in new
markets complementary to our existing markets, through our new GDN-OTA2
platform as well in our Destination Experiences markets through our Musement
platform, driving further demand to our own Holiday Experiences businesses.
TUI is well-positioned to become an integrated digital tourism platform
business."
1 Based on constant currency: FY19 comparative rebased in December 2018 to
EUR1,187m to take into account EUR40m impact for revaluation of Euro loan
balance within Turkish Lira entities in FY18, and adjusted further to
EUR1,177m for retrospective application of IFRS 15
2 Global distribution network (GDN) as TUI's new Online Travel Agent (OTA)
platform, serving run rate of 250k customers to date
Current Trading
In Hotels & Resorts, our diversified portfolio of destinations continues to
deliver balanced results with demand shifting from Western to Eastern
Mediterranean. As anticipated, we are seeing demand for Spain normalising
with both rates and occupancies coming off record highs in recent years,
offset by better results in our Turkish hotels. By the end of this financial
year, we will have successfully opened 70 new hotels since merger, well
ahead of our 60 target set at the time of the merger. Going forward we will
continue to further diversify our asset portfolio and selectively invest in
our key hotels brands such as Riu, Robinson and Blue Diamond. We will build
up our TUI Blue brand from 10 to 100 hotels by the end of 2020 through the
repositioning of existing hotels within the portfolio. TUI Blue will become
our flagship hotel brand, allowing for asset-light growth.
In Cruises, we successfully launched the new TUI Cruises Mein Schiff 2,
Marella Explorer 2 and Hanseatic nature for Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, with high
occupancy levels and robust daily rates continuing to be delivered despite a
significant increase in market capacity, particularly in the German cruise
market. In FY20, we will launch one additional expedition ship, the
Hanseatic inspiration for Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, with further launches for
both TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises scheduled in future years.
In Destination Experiences, we expect to see strong customer growth in the
final quarter, driven by both underlying growth and the acquisitions of
Destination Management and Musement. This year has seen the successful
integration of both companies and together with the planned expansion of
both the product portfolio and 3rd party distribution, we have created a
solid base for future growth in this attractive and fast growing market.
In Markets & Airlines, as expected, the most recent trading weeks since our
Q3 update on 13 August have been stronger in both bookings and average
selling price, resulting in Summer 20193 customer bookings flat on prior
year and ASP up 1%, with customer volumes to Turkey and North Africa seeing
a clear return to growth.
Winter 2019/20 programme3 (which is low season for most markets) is at an
early stage, with around one third of the programme sold, broadly in line
with prior year. The weaker demand environment as previously discussed
remains evident and we are seeing bookings down in line with our capacity
reduction of 2%, with average selling price up 4% on prior year.
Resumption of the 737 MAX remains subject to the clearance decision of the
civil aviation authorities. To ensure we are sufficiently covered for peak
periods during our Winter 2019/20 programme, we anticipate a smaller level
of aircraft replacement costs to be incurred, compared to Summer 2019.
3 These statistics are up to 15 September 2019, shown on a constant currency
basis and relate to all customers whether risk or non-risk
Foreign Exchange & Fuel
Our strategy of hedging the majority of our currency and jet fuel
requirements for future seasons remains unchanged. This gives us certainty
of costs when planning capacity and pricing. The following table shows the
percentage of our forecast requirement that is currently hedged for Euros,
US Dollars and jet fuel for Markets & Airlines, which account for over 90%
of our Group currency and fuel exposure.
Summer 2019 Winter 2019/20 Summer 2020
Euro 97% 86% 52%
US Dollars 96% 88% 65%
Jet Fuel 95% 93% 78%
As at 19 September 2019
At our Q3 update we indicated approximately EUR15m positive translation
impact on underlying EBITA compared with rates prevailing in the prior year.
We now expect a positive impact of approximately EUR11m in total from
foreign exchange translation on the FY19 underlying EBITA result, subject to
further movements in exchange rates to 30 September 2019.
Expected development and guidance
FY19 is closing out in line with our expectations and we therefore reiterate
FY19 underlying EBITA guidance stated in our ad hoc announcement of March
2019 of approximately up to minus 26% compared with underlying EBITA rebased
in FY18 of EUR1,177m.1
As articulated, the ongoing external challenges we have seen in FY19 are
likely to persist into FY20. This coming year will see us focus on becoming
more cost competitive, selectively grow our Holiday Experiences business and
scale up our digital platforms in new markets and Destination Experiences.
Delivering on our four strategic initiatives will ensure we remain
well-positioned to benefit in this changing environment and enable sustained
growth going forward.
Annual Report 2019
TUI Group will issue its Annual Report on Thursday 12 December 2019 and hold
a presentation for analysts and investors on the same day. Further details
will follow.
Analyst & Investor Enquiries
Peter Krueger, Member of the Group
Executive Committee, Group Director of
Strategy, M&A and Investor Relations
Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1440
Contacts for Analysts and Investors in UK, Ireland and Americas
Hazel Chung, Senior Investor Relations Tel: +44 (0)1293 645 823
Manager
Corvin Martens, Senior Investor Tel: +49 (0)170 566 2321
Relations Manager
Contacts for Analysts and Investors in Continental Europe,
Middle East and Asia
Nicola Gehrt, Head of Investor Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1435
Relations
Ina Klose, Senior Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1318
Manager
Jessica Blinne, Junior Investor Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1425
Relations Manager
ISIN: DE000TUAG000
Category Code: TST
TIDM: TUI
LEI Code: 529900SL2WSPV293B552
OAM Categories: 3.1. Additional regulated information required to be
disclosed under the laws of a Member State
Sequence No.: 21018
EQS News ID: 878443
End of Announcement EQS News Service
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 24, 2019 02:00 ET (06:00 GMT)
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