DJ SWEF: Half Yearly Report 30 June 2020
Starwood European Real Estate Finance Ltd (SWEF) SWEF: Half Yearly Report 30 June 2020 09-Sep-2020 / 07:00 GMT/BST Dissemination of a Regulatory Announcement that contains inside information according to REGULATION (EU) No 596/2014 (MAR), transmitted by EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Starwood European Real Estate Finance Limited Interim Financial Report and Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for the six-month period from 1 January 2020 to 30 June 2020 CONTENTS Overview Corporate Summary 2 Chairman's Statement 3 Investment Manager's Report 6 Principal Risks 18 Governance Board of Directors 20 Statement of Directors' Responsibilities 21 Financial Statements Independent Review Report 23 Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive 24 Income Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statement of Financial 25 Position Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statement of Changes in 26 Equity Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows 27 Notes to the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial 28 Statements Further Information Corporate Information 44 Overview Corporate Summary PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES AND INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE The investment objective of Starwood European Real Estate Finance Limited (the "Company"), together with its wholly owned subsidiaries Starfin Public Holdco 1 Limited, Starfin Public Holdco 2 Limited, Starfin Lux S.à.r.l, Starfin Lux 3 S.à.r.l and Starfin Lux 4 S.à.r.l (collectively the "Group") is to provide its shareholders with regular dividends and an attractive total return while limiting downside risk, through the origination, execution, acquisition and servicing of a diversified portfolio of real estate debt investments (including debt instruments) in the UK and the wider European Union's internal market, focusing on Northern and Southern Europe. Whilst investment opportunities in the secondary market are considered, the Group's main focus is to originate direct primary real estate debt investments. The Group seeks to limit downside risk by focusing on secured debt with both quality collateral and contractual protection. The typical loan term is between three and seven years. The Group aims to be appropriately diversified by geography, real estate sector, loan type and counterparty. The Group pursues investments across the commercial real estate debt asset class through senior loans, subordinated loans and mezzanine loans, bridge loans, selected loan-on-loan financings and other debt instruments. STRUCTURE The Company was incorporated with limited liability in Guernsey under the Companies (Guernsey) Law, 2008, as amended, on 9 November 2012 with registered number 55836, and has been authorised by the Guernsey Financial Services Commission ("GFSC") as a registered closed-ended investment company. The Company's ordinary shares were first admitted to the premium segment of the UK Listing Authority's Official List and to trading on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange as part of its initial public offering which completed on 17 December 2012. Further issues took place in March 2013, April 2013, July 2015, September 2015, August 2016 and May 2019. The issued capital during the period comprises the Company's Ordinary Shares denominated in Sterling. The Company makes its investments through Starfin Lux S.à.r.l (indirectly wholly-owned via a 100% shareholding in Starfin Public Holdco 1 Limited), Starfin Lux 3 S.à.r.l and Starfin Lux 4 S.à.r.l (both indirectly wholly-owned via a 100% shareholding in Starfin Public Holdco 2 Limited). The Investment Manager is Starwood European Finance Partners Limited (the "Investment Manager"), a company incorporated in Guernsey with registered number 55819 and regulated by the GFSC. The Investment Manager has appointed Starwood Capital Europe Advisers, LLP (the "Investment Adviser"), an English limited liability partnership authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, to provide investment advice, pursuant to an Investment Advisory Agreement. Chairman's Statement Dear Shareholder, I am delighted to present the Interim Financial Report and Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements of Starwood European Real Estate Finance Limited (the "Group") for the period from 1 January 2020 to 30 June 2020. INVESTMENT MOMENTUM The table below summarises the new commitments made and repayments received in the first six months of each year from 2016 to 2020. New Repayments & Net Increase in Commitments Amortisation Commitments H1 2016 GBP98.9m (GBP92.1m) GBP6.8m H1 2017 GBP115.5m (GBP85.2m) GBP30.3m H1 2018 GBP147.5m (GBP74.1m) GBP73.4m H1 2019 GBP49.9m (GBP45.9m) GBP4.0m H1 2020 GBP72.7m (GBP65.3m) GBP7.4m The net increase in commitments during the first half of 2020, whilst still positive, has been modest. This is not surprising as market activity reduced significantly due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Repayments were similar to previous years and the majority occurred in the first quarter, pre lockdown though the credit linked notes repaid at the end of the second quarter. Importantly, the Group remains fully invested supporting the Company's income generation. We normally anticipate that around 30-40 per cent of loans will repay in an average year. As things stand we would expect this figure to be lower during 2020 as it may take borrowers longer to sell or execute business plans and opportunities to refinance following completion of plans may be more limited. The Company expects all scheduled payments to be made on time and in accordance with their respective initial or amended terms, as applicable. STEPHEN SMITH | Chairman 8 September 2020 NAV AND SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE The NAV of the Group remained relatively stable over the first half of the year. Notably, the Company has not experienced any defaults or increase in expected credit losses during the period of market dislocation and importantly all scheduled interest payments have been received on time. The Company has delivered a NAV total return during the period of 4 per cent. We would not expect to see significant movements in NAV as the Group's loans are held at amortised cost and Euro exposures are hedged. The NAV would only be materially impacted if there was an increase in credit risk which resulted in an expected credit loss or actual default. Please refer to the Investment Manager's report on page 10 for further useful information on the accounting for our loans and an assessment of expected credit losses for the period ended 30 June 2020. The Investment Manager also presents an analysis of the potential fair values of the loans against the amortised cost that is reflected in these financial statements. At 30 June 2020, the share price traded at a significant discount to NAV of 17 per cent which has improved from the historic low (of 63.4 pence per share) experienced during the Covid-19 crisis. However, the Board and the Investment Adviser believe the shares represent very attractive value at this level and members of the Investment Adviser team and the Board have made personal purchases during the quarter, as disclosed by the Group. The Company received authority at the recent AGM to purchase up to 14.99 per cent of the Ordinary Shares in issue on 8 June 2020. The Directors continue to closely and regularly monitor the discount to NAV and on 10th August we announced the appointment of Jefferies International Limited as buy-back agent to effect share buy backs on behalf of the Company. This engagement lasts until 31 December 2020 and any share buyback will be subject to sufficient cash being available to cover commitments to borrowers, working capital or the payment of dividends. As at 8 September 2020 the Company had repurchased 872,000 Ordinary Shares at an average price of 85.35 pence per share. These shares are being held in Treasury. DIVIDENDS The Directors declared a dividend in respect of the first two quarters of 2020 of 1.625 pence per Ordinary Share, equating to an annualised 6.5 pence per annum. This was approximately 0.9x covered by earnings excluding unrealised FX gains. With the current portfolio, we expect the dividend cover to reduce to approximately 0.87x during the second half of the year. The Board and Investment Adviser recognise the importance of stable and predictable dividends for our shareholders. Accordingly, we held a dividend reserve (within retained earnings) built up over several years which we have been using to maintain the annual dividend at 6.5 pence per share over the last eighteen months even though the dividend has not been covered by earnings more recently. As a result, dividends have not, to date, been paid out of capital reserves. The Company intends to continue to use the remaining dividend reserve to maintain the annual dividend at 6.5 pence per share for the rest of 2020 which will leave a small dividend reserve remaining. In the period since the Group's inception, the Bank of England base rate has reduced from 0.50 per cent to 0.10 per cent. The average 5 year GBP swap rate from inception to year end 2019 was 1.16 per cent, compared to 0.13 per cent at 30 June 2020 representing a fall of over 1 per cent on average. At inception LIBOR / EURIBOR might have contributed up to 10 per cent of the company's underlying return profile, today it makes up less than 1 per cent. In light of this declining interest rate environment, from 1 January 2021
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the Group intends to reduce the dividend target to 5.5 pence per annum (payable quarterly) which, in the Board and the Investment Adviser's view, is a sustainable level and which should be fully covered by earnings whilst ensuring we maintain our strong credit discipline and risk management. The share price at 30 June 2020, assuming a dividend of 5.5 pence per annum would deliver an attractive 6.4 per cent yield (this equates to a 5.3 per cent yield on NAV at 30 June 2020). BOARD COMPOSITION AND DIVERSITY The Board previously mentioned that it is mindful of the need to plan for succession and to implement this in a timely and constructive fashion that supports and builds on a cohesive Board. On 3 August 2020 the Company announced the appointment of Shelagh Mason with effect from 1 September 2020 and Charlotte Denton with effect from 1 January 2021 as Non-Executive Directors of the Company. The new appointments are in accordance with the Board's Succession Planning Memorandum which states that a new Director will be appointed to the Board during the second half of 2020 allowing time for induction prior to Mr. Jonathan Bridel standing down from the Board in December 2020. In addition, the Company has decided that it is appropriate to make a second new appointment to add to the Company's skills, experience and diversity as well as to assist in the succession process when I retire from the Board in December 2021 and when Mr. John Whittle stands down in December 2022. The Board believes in the value and importance of diversity in the boardroom and it continues to consider the recommendations of the Davies Report which will be a key factor in its succession planning. We are pleased that Shelagh and Charlotte have accepted these appointments to the Board and the Company believes that as the succession plan unfolds the Board will be fully equipped with the necessary skills, experience, knowledge and diversity to continue to grow a successful business in the coming years. The Board believes that it has addressed concerns expressed by shareholders at this year's AGM. GOING CONCERN Under the UK Corporate Governance Code and applicable regulations, the Directors are required to satisfy themselves that it is reasonable to assume that the Group is a going concern. The Directors have undertaken a rigorous review of the Group's ability to continue as a going concern including assessing the possible impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the Group's portfolio, a review of the ongoing cash flows and the level of cash balances as of the reporting date as well as forecasts of future cash flows. After making enquiries of the Investment Manager and the Administrator and having reassessed the principal risks, the Directors have a reasonable expectation that the Group has adequate resources to continue in operational existence for at least one year from the date the unaudited consolidated financial statements were signed. A range of scenarios have been evaluated as part of this analysis. The worst case scenario evaluated was an interest payment default on all hotel and retail loans. In this scenario the company is still able to meet its liabilities as they fall due although the dividend would need to be reduced to reflect the reduced cash received. Accordingly, the Directors continue to adopt a going concern basis in preparing the Interim Financial Report and Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements. COVID-19 AND OUTLOOK The Board is pleased that the robust underwriting, initial loan structuring and active asset management of the Investment Manager and Adviser during this turbulent time has contributed significantly to a very robust performance during the period. The Investment Manager and Adviser have actively engaged with our borrowers during this time when amendments and waivers under loan documentation have been required due to the disruption to business plans. Just under a quarter of the portfolio has required some sort of amendment or waiver as a result of Covid-19 with most waivers required in respect of income based covenants. However, despite this, all interest has been paid in full and on time and although in many cases credit risk may have changed and some loans have moved from Stage 1 to Stage 2, no impairments have been required. Importantly, we expect interest payments to continue to be paid, in full, based on the forecast and for conditions to gradually improve if lockdown continues to be relaxed across the UK and Europe. For further information on the performance of the various components of the portfolio during Covid-19 please refer to the Investment Managers report on page 7. The Investment Adviser expects to see a strong pipeline of opportunities as the markets begin to stabilise and will continue to apply its rigorous approach to the selection of appropriate opportunities as it re-invests capital into new opportunities. At 30 June 2020, the Group was very modestly levered with net debt of GBP15.1 million (3.5 per cent of NAV) and undrawn revolving credit facilities of GBP101.9 million to fund the Group's existing commitments of GBP67.2 million. If the Group does not receive any further repayments this year, it means the Group has approximately GBP44 million of capacity for new loans. The Board believes that the Company is well placed and that its portfolio and investment pipeline should, over the long term, continue to deliver an attractive risk-adjusted return. I would like to close by thanking you for your commitment and support. Stephen Smith Chairman 8 September 2020 Investment Manager's Report CONTINUED INVESTMENT DEPLOYMENT As at 30 June 2020, the Group had 18 investments and commitments of GBP514.7 million as follows: Sterling Sterling equivalent equivalent unfunded commitment (1) balance (1) Hospitals, UK GBP25.0m - Hotel & Residential, UK GBP49.9m - Office, Scotland GBP4.6m GBP0.4m Office, London GBP13.0m GBP7.6m Residential, London GBP37.0m GBP2.7m Hotel, Oxford GBP16.7m GBP6.3m Hotel, Scotland GBP25.9m GBP15.5m Hotel, North Berwick GBP10.5m GBP4.5m Logistics Portfolio, UK (2) GBP12.0m - Total Sterling Loans GBP194.6m GBP37.0m Three Shopping Centres, GBP34.1m GBP5.9m Spain Shopping Centre, Spain GBP15.6m - Hotel, Dublin, Ireland GBP55.0m - Hotel, Spain GBP40.1m GBP9.5m Office & Hotel, Madrid GBP17.0m GBP0.9m Mixed Portfolio, Europe GBP31.3m - Mixed Use, Dublin GBP2.0m GBP11.5m Office Portfolio, Spain GBP19.6m GBP2.4m Office Portfolio, Dublin GBP32.2m - Logistics Portfolio, GBP6.0m - Germany (2) Total Euro Loans GBP252.9m GBP30.2m Total Portfolio GBP447.5m GBP67.2m (1) Euro balances translated to sterling at period-end exchange rate. (2) Logistics Portfolio, UK and Logistics Portfolio, Germany is one single loan agreement with sterling and Euro tranches. Between 1 January 2020 to 30 June 2020, the following significant investment activity occurred (included in the table above): NEW LOAN: OFFICE PORTFOLIO, DUBLIN: On 2 January 2020, the Group committed to an investment in a c. 6 year floating rate loan secured by a portfolio of assets in Ireland, together with Starwood Property Trust, Inc (through a wholly owned subsidiary) participating in 50 per cent of the mezzanine loan amount, providing the Group with a commitment of &euro35.15 million. The portfolio consists of 12 high occupancy properties in Central Dublin with primarily office and some small amounts of retail and residential space totalling over 600,000 sqf in total. NEW LOAN: HOTEL, NORTH BERWICK, SCOTLAND: On 12th February 2020, the Group committed to fund a hotel acquisition financing for a commitment of GBP15.0 million. The sponsor is a repeat borrower for the Group. The financing, which was provided in the form of a significant initial advance to finance an asset acquisition together with a smaller capex facility, will support the sponsor's capital expenditure for improvement and rebranding of the hotel. The day one advance amount is GBP10.5 million whilst the total commitment is GBP15.0 million. The loan is for a term of 5 years. LOAN UPSIZE: HOTEL & RESIDENTIAL, UK: On 27th February 2020 the Group also committed to fund a GBP20.0 million upsize to an existing fixed rate mezzanine loan to support the development of a mixed-use scheme in London. Starwood Property Trust, Inc (through a wholly owned subsidiary) is participating in 50 per cent of the loan amount, providing the Group with a commitment of GBP10.0 million. NEW LOAN: LOGISTICS, UK AND GERMANY: On 17 June 2020, the Group closed an investment in the funding of a &euro71.9 million, 36 month floating rate senior loan secured by a portfolio of industrial/logistics assets in the UK and Germany. The investment was made alongside Starwood Property Trust, Inc (through a wholly owned subsidiary) with the Group participating in &euro20 million (27.8 per cent) of the senior loan amount. The Group expects the transaction to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns, in line with its stated investment strategy. Loan Repayments & Amortisation: the following material loan repayments and material amortisation were received during the first half:
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? a full and final repayment of the &euro16 million loan on an office in Paris; ? &euro16.4 million of unscheduled amortisation on the loan on the mixed portfolio; ? Full and final repayment of the mixed use development, South East UK loan (approximately GBP700k) as the borrower completed their business plan; ? Credit Linked notes: a full and final repayment of the GBP21.8 million balance. This repayment was earlier than the contractual settlement date but was anticipated given the relatively high yield that was being earned on the credit linked notes compared to the current market conditions; and ? Residential, London: GBP15.0 million of amortisation following the sale of residential units The Group also advanced GBP16.5 million to borrowers to which it has outstanding commitments. PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW IN LIGHT OF COVID-19 We have always had a detailed, hands on approach to asset management, almost all our loans are direct origination with the borrowers. We therefore know our borrowers well and we monitor the credit closely through the life of the investments. Typically, loans are structured in line with underwritten borrower business plans. Financial and other milestone covenants are set and ratchet up over time to track those business plans, which means that should underlying performance start to deteriorate, early triggers are in place which effectively allow us to review the position with the borrower and recommend loan amendments or restructurings as appropriately tailored to each deal. These loan structures, close relationships and monitoring have proved particularly useful during Covid-19 where disruption to business plans has resulted in requirements for amendments and waivers under loan documentation. Just under a quarter of the portfolio has required some form of amendment or waiver as a result of Covid-19. As at the date of approval of the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, most waivers required were in respect of income based covenants. An example of this has been debt yield test or income covenant waivers to allow for the disruption of hospitality assets performance. However it is important to note that these deals are well capitalised with cash reserves in place to fund forecast shortfalls of income and, no deal or project has identified a funding shortfall in the medium term. Amendments to-date have also included refurbishment or ground up construction loans where loans are structured with required project completion dates. Where construction progress has been hampered by either mandatory government shutdowns or the introduction of Covid-compliant social distancing measures, some milestones have been pushed out to account for the time lost. Again, these deals are all adequately capitalised where any cost increase identified as a result of on-site delays, has identified funding in place. All loan interest up to the date of publication has been paid in full and on time and future interest payments are expected to be paid in full based on the forecast gradual continued easing of lockdowns across the UK and Europe. The performance of the portfolio has been robust during the Covid-19 crisis and performance by sector is summarised below. Hospitality (34.7 per cent of Investment Portfolio) ? Of the Group's investments, the hospitality industry has been most affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. ? Four hotels, which equates to 40 per cent of hotels in the portfolio had to close during the pandemic. ? All hotels are now open and operational, aside from the Hotel, Spain which remains under construction and is due to achieve completion in Q3 2020. The Hotel, Dublin has remained open and has benefited from a contract with the Irish Health Authority during the pandemic. ? Every hospitality loan within the Group's loan book continued to pay interest on time. ? All hospitality loans have adequate resources to meet their cash needs for the medium term. Retail (12.7 per cent of Investment Portfolio) ? The retail sector has also been hard hit by the Covid-19 pandemic. This is on the back of a number of difficult trading years for the retail "bricks and mortar" sector as a whole. ? Across Europe almost all non-essential retail assets were shut for a number of months. These retail assets are now beginning to open once again and starting to become operational. ? In some parts of the retail market we have witnessed footfall return to as much as 70 per cent of its pre-Covid level. However, we do expect to see more insolvencies across the sector as 2020 continues. ? The Group's retail investments are either a small part of a large portfolio of mixed assets or benefit from robust loan structures including interest / cash reserves which will enable the borrower to weather the storm over the medium term. Office, Industrial & Residential (47 per cent of Investment Portfolio) ? These three sectors have been the most resilient sectors during the Covid-19 pandemic. ? Underlying office rent collections for loans with greater than 75 per cent exposure to office remain strong at 96 per cent year to date. ? Residential sales have continued to progress well during the Covid-19 related disruption with a number of units being sold since 1 March 2020 at premiums to underwritten values. The loan-to-value for this segment is 59.6 per cent. ? Underlying industrial loan rent collections remain strong at 100 per cent year to date. Construction (34 per cent of Investment Portfolio including some hospitality and residential assets included above) ? Construction sites have continued to make progress during the Covid-19 pandemic. ? In the UK construction sites were able to remain open at all times. In Spain and Ireland, construction sites were closed for 14 and 52 days respectively. ? We expect to see more moderate delays to final completion in our construction deals as a result of Covid-19. ? However, every deal remains fully funded by debt and equity with ample contingencies and cost overrun protections to enable borrowers to mitigate any Covid-19 impacts. COMPANY PERFORMANCE Share price, NAV and discount/premium Source: Thomson Reuters PORTFOLIO STATISTICS As at 30 June 2020, the portfolio was invested in line with the Group's investment policy. The key portfolio statistics are as summarised below. Number of investments 18 Percentage of currently invested portfolio in floating 79.5% rate loans Invested Loan Portfolio unlevered annualised total 6.7% return (1) Portfolio levered annualised total return (2) 7.0% Weighted average portfolio LTV - to Group first GBP (3) 18.4% Weighted average portfolio LTV - to Group last GBP (3) 62.9% Average loan term (stated maturity at inception) 4.4 years Average remaining loan term 2.8 years Net Asset Value GBP430.1m Amount drawn under Revolving Credit Facilities (GBP24.1m) (excluding accrued interest) Loans advanced GBP448.9m Cash GBP9.0m Other net assets / (liabilities) (including hedges) (GBP3.8m) Origination Fees - current quarter GBP0.1m Origination Fees - last 12 months GBP1.9m Management Fees - current quarter GBP0.8m Management Fees - last 12 months GBP3.2m 1) The unlevered annualised total return is calculated on amounts outstanding at the reporting date, excluding undrawn commitments, and assuming all drawn loans are outstanding for the full contractual term. 14 of the loans are floating rate (partially or in whole and some with floors) and returns are based on an assumed profile for future interbank rates but the actual rate received may be higher or lower. Calculated only on amounts funded at the reporting date and excluding committed amounts (but including commitment fees) and excluding cash un-invested. The calculation also excludes the origination fee payable to the Investment Manager. 2) The levered annualised total return is calculated as per the unlevered return but takes into account the amount of net leverage in the Group and the cost of that leverage at current LIBOR/EURIBOR. 3) LTV to Group last GBP means the percentage which the total loan drawn less any amortisation received to date (when aggregated with any other indebtedness ranking alongside and/or senior to it) bears to the market value determined by the last formal lender valuation received by the reporting date. LTV to Group first GBP means the starting point of the loan to value range of the loans drawn (when aggregated with any other indebtedness ranking senior to it). For development projects the calculation includes the total facility available and is calculated against the assumed market value on completion of the relevant project. The maturity profile of investments as at 30 June 2020 is shown below. Principal value % of loans of invested Remaining years to contractual GBPm portfolio maturity (1) 0 to 1 years 20.2 4.5% 1 to 2 years 133.2 29.8% 2 to 3 years 147.2 32.9% 3 to 5 years 89.7 20.0% 5 to 10 years 57.2 12.8% Total 447.5 100.0% 1) Excludes any permitted extensions. Note that borrowers may elect to repay loans before contractual maturity. The Group continues to achieve good portfolio diversification as shown in the graphs below: % of invested assets * the currency split refers to the underlying loan currency, however the
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capital on all non-sterling exposure is hedged back to sterling. The Board considers that the Group is engaged in a single segment of business, being the provision of a diversified portfolio of real estate backed loans. The analysis presented in this report is presented to demonstrate the level of diversification achieved within that single segment. The Board does not believe that the Group's investments constitute separate operating segments. LIQUIDITY AND HEDGING The Group is very modestly levered with net debt of GBP15.1 million (3.5 per cent of NAV) at 30 June 2020, has no repo facilities outstanding and significant liquidity available with undrawn revolving credit facilities of GBP101.9 million to fund existing commitments as summarised below. As at 30 June 2020 GBP million Drawn on Group debt facilities (24.1) Cash at hand 9.0 Net Debt (15.1) Undrawn Debt Facilities available to Group 101.9 Undrawn Commitments to Borrowers (67.2) Available Capacity 43.7 The way in which the Group's borrowing facilities are structured means that it does not need to fund mark to market margin calls. The Group does have the obligation to post cash collateral under its hedging facilities. However, cash would not need to be posted until the hedges were more than GBP20 million out of the money. The mark to market of the hedges at 30 June 2020 was GBP4.5 million (out of the money) and with the robust hedging structure employed by the Group, cash collateral has never been required to be posted since inception. The Group has the majority of its investments currently denominated in Euros (although this can change over time), although the Group is sterling denominated. The Group is therefore subject to the risk that exchange rates move unfavourably and that a) foreign exchange losses on the loan principal are incurred and b) that interest payments received are lower than anticipated when converted back to Sterling and therefore returns are lower than the underwritten returns. The functional and presentation currency of the Group is sterling as capital is raised in sterling, it is listed on the London Stock Exchange and the majority of expenses are sterling. The Group focuses on the UK and Europe but at 30 June 2020 the investment portfolio is slightly Euro dominant. The portfolio split between sterling and Euro will fluctuate over time depending on where the best opportunities arise. The Group manages this risk by entering into forward contracts to hedge the currency risk. All non-Sterling loan principal is hedged back to Sterling to the maturity date of the loan (unless it was funded using the revolving credit facilities in which case it will have a natural hedge). Interest payments are generally hedged for the period for which prepayment protection is in place. However, the risk remains that loans are repaid earlier than anticipated and forward contracts need to be broken early. In these circumstances the forward curve may have moved since the forward contracts were placed which can impact the rate received. In addition, if the loan repays after the prepayment protection, interest after the prepayment protected period may be received at a lower rate than anticipated leading to lower returns for that period. Conversely the rate could have improved and returns may increase. EXPECTED CREDIT LOSSES (IMPAIRMENT) All loans within the portfolio are classified and measured at amortised cost less impairment. Under IFRS 9 a three stage approach for recognition of impairment is applicable, based on whether there has been a significant deterioration in the credit risk of a financial asset since initial recognition. These three stages then determine the amount of impairment provision recognised. At Initial Recognition Recognise a loss allowance equal (if asset is not credit to 12 months expected credit impaired) losses resulting from default events that are possible within 12 months. After initial recognition: Stage 1 Credit risk has not increased significantly since initial recognition. Recognise 12 months expected credit losses. Interest income is recognised by applying the effective interest rate to the gross carrying amount of financial assets. Stage 2 Credit risk has increased significantly since initial recognition. Recognise lifetime expected losses. Interest income is recognised by applying the effective interest rate to the gross carrying amount of financial assets. Stage 3 Credit impaired financial asset. Recognise lifetime expected losses. Interest income is calculated by applying the effective interest rate to their amortised cost (that is net of expected loss provision). The Group has not recognised expected credit losses at initial recognition on any of its loans due to the detailed and conservative underwriting undertaken, robust loan structures in place and a strong equity cushion with an average LTV of 62.9 per cent (based on the latest available valuation for each asset). Stage 2: Significant increase in credit risk The Group uses both quantitative and qualitative criteria which is monitored no less than quarterly in order to assess whether an increase in credit risk has occurred. Increased credit risk would be considered if, for example, all or a combination of the following has occurred: ? underlying income performance is at a greater than 10 per cent variance to the underwritten loan metrics; ? loan to value is greater than 75-80 per cent; ? loan to value or income covenant test results are at a variance of greater than 5-10% of loan default covenant level (note that loan default covenant levels are set tightly to ensure that an early cure is required by the borrower should they breach which usually involves decreasing the loan amount until covenant tests are passed); ? late payments have occurred and not been cured within 3 days; ? loan maturity date is within six months and the borrower has not presented an achievable refinance or repayment plan; ? covenant and performance milestones criteria under the loan have required more than two waivers; ? increased credit risk has been identified on tenants representing greater than 25 per cent of underlying asset income; ? income rollover / tenant break options exist such that a lease up of more than 30 per cent of underlying property will be required within 12 months in order to meet loan covenants and interest payments; and ? borrower management team quality has adversely changed. Stage 3: Non-performing assets Non-performing financial assets would be classified in Stage 3, which is fully aligned with the definition of credit- impaired, when one or more of the following has occurred: ? the borrower is in breach of all financial covenants; ? the borrower is in significant financial difficulty; and ? it is becoming probable that the borrower will enter bankruptcy. An instrument is considered to have been cured, that is no longer in default, when it no longer meets any of the default criteria for a sufficient period of time. At the end of 2019 all loans were classified as Stage 1. As at 30 June 2020 six loans with a value of 33 per cent of NAV have moved to Stage 2 but no loan has moved to Stage 3. The loans classified to stage 2 are predominantly in the retail and hospitailty sectors. Out of the list of considerations outlined above the main reason for moving the loans to stage 2 was expected income covenant breaches due to the disruption from Covid-19. It is important to note that classification to Stages 2 does not automatically mean that an expected credit loss will be recognised. This is because the formula for calculating the expected credit loss is: "Present Value of loan" x "probability of default" x "value of expected loss" The Group does not instruct independent third party valuations on a strict annual basis, only when it is considered necessary to obtain one. We generally consider this to be a conservative approach to the LTV stated as many of our borrowers have business plans which are in execution and the plans would have be gradually de-risked as the business plan progresses. The Investment Adviser does closely analyse all available market and internal information on a regular basis and as at 30 June 2020 considers that it is still very likely that the third part of the formula "value of expected loss" will remain as nil for all loans, even if they have moved from Stage 1 to Stage 2, due to the significant headroom the Group has with an average loan to value (based on the latest third party valuations performed) of 62.9 per cent. The table below shows the sensitivity of the loan to value calculation for movements in the underlying property valuation. Change in Hospitality Retail Residential Other Portfolio Valuation Average -15% 73.0% 82.1% 70.1% 74.3% 74.0% -10% 68.9% 77.5% 66.2% 70.2% 69.9%
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