Original-Research: Eckert & Ziegler SE - from NuWays AG
Classification of NuWays AG to Eckert & Ziegler SE
Q1 preview: Medical to continue growth trajectory EUZ Q1 26 results are due on May 12. We expect sales of € 72.5m (+6% yoy) and adj. EBIT of € 16.0m (-1% yoy), implying a 22.1% margin (-1.7 pp yoy). This should mark a solid start to FY 26, with radiopharma continuing to drive the business. The Medical segment (55% of sales) should again be the key contributor. Q1 26 segment sales look set to grow 13% yoy to € 39.0m (eNuW). The prior-year comp is mixed: Q1 25 was affected by the cyber attack, which in our view reduced GalliaPharm sales by c. € 4m versus the normal run-rate, while the quarter also included € 5m of Ac-225 licence revenues. These two effects should broadly offset each other, leaving GalliaPharm's international expansion, including into Japan, as the main driver of yoy growth in Q1 26. This remains central to the equity story, as Ga-68 is still the most immediate and tangible growth driver within EUZ's radiopharma business. The IP segment (45% of sales) is not yet expected to contribute much to growth. Q1 26 sales are seen to decline 1% yoy to € 33.5m (eNuW). Recent oil price strength linked to the Iran conflict has not yet been reflected in indicators suggesting better demand for EUZ's IP products, with rig count data still not pointing to a sustained recovery (source: Baker Hughes). The investment case does not hinge on an IP recovery in Q1. The relevant growth and margin driver remains radiopharma. In addition, management has already pointed to several IP projects that should support the segment later in the year. The timing of licence income remains relevant for the 2026 earnings phasing. We do not expect licence income in Q1 26, while the remaining Telix-related licence revenues of € 5.6m should arrive later in 2026e, depending on milestone timing (likely by Q4 at the latest). These would come with a 98% incremental EBIT margin (eNuW). On our Q1 assumptions, EUZ would need 1.5% sales growth and 4.1% adj. EBIT growth across the remaining three quarters to meet its FY 26 guidance. However, the 4.1% headline understates the true operating momentum, as it is measured against a prior-year base that benefited from high-margin licence income. On an underlying basis, excluding licence effects, the implied adj. EBIT growth picks up to c. 12% yoy. This looks achievable, given the supportive radiopharma backdrop. The nuclear medicine market is projected to grow at c. 15% p.a. into 2030e (source: MedRays), and peer BWXT's guidance for high-teens medical growth in 2026 points in the same direction. EUZ remains a rare picks-and-shovels radiopharma asset, with limited product-specific binary risk and additional upside from Lu-177 and Ac-225 beyond the core Ga-68 growth leg. Reiterate BUY, PT € 23, based on DCF. You can download the research here: eckert-and-ziegler-se-2026-04-20-longupdate-en-8c469 For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed Contact for questions: NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenkonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befindet sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++ The EQS Distribution Services include Regulatory Announcements, Financial/Corporate News and Press Releases. | ||||||||||||||||||
2310826 20.04.2026 CET/CEST
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