Jan 11 (Reuters) - Following are results of a Reuters poll of banks on the Romanian
economy, conducted between Jan 5 and 7. See notes for definitions and abbreviations.
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INFLATION (CPI) LEU CURRENCY GDP TRADE BUDGET
Dec Jan '10 Jan Q1 '10 Q4 Q4 '09 Q1 Q1 '10 '09 '09 '10
m/m y/y y/y y/y y/y q/q y/y y/y q/q y/y y/y q/q y/y y/y y/y y/y MEDIAN 0.4 4.8 4.7 4.1 4.20 4.15 4.09 -6.0 0.1 -7.0 -0.8 0.2 0.8 -7.10 -7.3 -6.0 AVERAGE 0.4 4.8 4.7 4.2 4.19 4.16 4.10 -5.6 0.0 -7.0 -1.0 -0.5 0.7 -6.74 -7.5 -6.1 MINIMUM 0.3 4.7 4.1 2.8 4.10 3.90 3.95 -7.3 -0.8 -7.6 -3.3 -2.9 -3.5 -12.50 -8.0 -7.5 MAXIMUM 0.7 5.1 5.1 5.1 4.25 4.35 4.30 -4.2 0.8 -6.4 0.8 0.6 2.0 -6.0 -7.2 -5.3 MODE 0.3 4.8 4.8 4.2 4.20 4.15 4.09 -6.9 n/a -7.0 -0.5 n/a 1.5 -7.10 -7.3 -5.9
Bank
(1) 0.3 4.7 4.7 4.0 4.21 4.20 4.10 -6.9 -0.2 -7.2 -0.5 0.0 0.6 -6.90 -7.3 -6.5
(2) 0.5 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.19 4.12 4.09 -6.9 0.4 -7.6 -3.3 -2.9 -3.5 -7.10 -7.4 -6.5
(3) 0.4 4.8 4.8 4.2 4.21 4.19 4.12 -6.0 -0.8 -7.0 n/a n/a 1.5 -7.10 -7.2 -5.5
(4) 0.6 5.0 5.1 4.3 4.17 4.15 4.08 -7.0 n/a -7.3 -0.9 n/a 0.4 -7.80 -7.5 -7.5
(5) 0.6 5.1 5.1 4.4 4.10 3.90 4.00 -6.7 n/a -7.2 0.8 n/a 1.9 -12.50 -7.5 -6.3
(6) 0.3 4.8 n/a 5.1 4.15 4.15 3.95 -5.5 0.0 -7.0 n/a n/a 1.5 -7.00 -8.0 -5.9
(7) 0.5 5.0 4.3 3.5 4.16 4.14 4.05 n/a n/a -7.0 n/a n/a 0.7 -7.00 -7.3 -5.9
(8) 0.3 4.7 4.6 4.0 4.21 4.25 4.09 -6.0 n/a -7.0 -3.0 n/a 0.5 -6.00 -7.3 -5.9
(9) 0.7 4.8 4.5 3.7 4.20 4.15 4.30 -7.3 -0.6 -7.5 n/a n/a -0.5 -8.00 -7.5 -6.3
(10) 0.3 4.7 4.6 5.0 4.20 4.15 4.10 -4.4 0.6 -6.5 -0.5 0.6 1.6 -6.70 -7.7 -5.9
(11) 0.4 4.8 5.0 4.2 4.15 4.05 4.00 -4.2 0.8 -6.4 0.5 n/a 2.0 -7.50 -7.2 -5.3
(12) 0.4 4.8 4.8 3.7 4.20 4.20 4.05 -5.5 0.1 -7.0 -1.5 0.3 1.0 -7.00 -7.3 -6.0
(13) 0.4 4.8 4.8 2.8 4.20 4.20 4.20 -5.2 n/a -6.8 -0.8 n/a 0.8 -7.10 -7.3 -6.7
(14) 0.3 4.7 4.1 4.2 4.25 4.35 4.20 -6.6 n/a -7.0 -0.4 n/a 0.4 -7.10 -8.0 -6.0
(15) 0.3 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.20 4.25 4.15 -5.4 n/a -6.8 -1.2 n/a 1.5 -6.80 -7.3 -6.0
(1) Banca Comerciala Romana, Cristian Mladin
(2) Banca Romaneasca, Daniel Buzatu
(3) Banca Transilvania, Mirela Cadar
(4) Bancpost, Dan Bucsa
(5) Barclays Capital, Daniel Hewitt
(6) BRD, Angeliu Ursache
(7) CEC Bank, Irina Zaicanu
(8) Credit Europe Bank, Georgiana Constantinescu
(9) Eximbank, Eugen Grecescu
(10) ING Bank NV, Nicolaie Alexandru-Chidesciuc
(11) Millennium Bank Romania, Ciprian Dascalu
(12) Raiffeisen Bank, Ionut Dumitru
(13) RBS Romania, Catalina Molnar
(14) UniCredit Tiriac Bank, Rozalia Pal
(15) Volksbank Romania, Melania Hancila
Notes:
CPI - Consumer price index (pct change).
LEU - Euro/leu exchange rate at end of each month.
GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change).
TRADE - Foreign trade balance (FOB/FOB, billions of euros).
BUDGET - Public finance balance in percent of GDP.
For a report on the survey please double-click on. For forecasts of interest rates please click. Keywords: ROMANIA ECONOMY/TABLE (Compiled by Ioana Patran, Editing by Stephen Nisbet, +40 21 315 8320) COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Reuters 2010. All rights reserved. The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters.
INFLATION (CPI) LEU CURRENCY GDP TRADE BUDGET
Dec Jan '10 Jan Q1 '10 Q4 Q4 '09 Q1 Q1 '10 '09 '09 '10
m/m y/y y/y y/y y/y q/q y/y y/y q/q y/y y/y q/q y/y y/y y/y y/y MEDIAN 0.4 4.8 4.7 4.1 4.20 4.15 4.09 -6.0 0.1 -7.0 -0.8 0.2 0.8 -7.10 -7.3 -6.0 AVERAGE 0.4 4.8 4.7 4.2 4.19 4.16 4.10 -5.6 0.0 -7.0 -1.0 -0.5 0.7 -6.74 -7.5 -6.1 MINIMUM 0.3 4.7 4.1 2.8 4.10 3.90 3.95 -7.3 -0.8 -7.6 -3.3 -2.9 -3.5 -12.50 -8.0 -7.5 MAXIMUM 0.7 5.1 5.1 5.1 4.25 4.35 4.30 -4.2 0.8 -6.4 0.8 0.6 2.0 -6.0 -7.2 -5.3 MODE 0.3 4.8 4.8 4.2 4.20 4.15 4.09 -6.9 n/a -7.0 -0.5 n/a 1.5 -7.10 -7.3 -5.9
Bank
(1) 0.3 4.7 4.7 4.0 4.21 4.20 4.10 -6.9 -0.2 -7.2 -0.5 0.0 0.6 -6.90 -7.3 -6.5
(2) 0.5 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.19 4.12 4.09 -6.9 0.4 -7.6 -3.3 -2.9 -3.5 -7.10 -7.4 -6.5
(3) 0.4 4.8 4.8 4.2 4.21 4.19 4.12 -6.0 -0.8 -7.0 n/a n/a 1.5 -7.10 -7.2 -5.5
(4) 0.6 5.0 5.1 4.3 4.17 4.15 4.08 -7.0 n/a -7.3 -0.9 n/a 0.4 -7.80 -7.5 -7.5
(5) 0.6 5.1 5.1 4.4 4.10 3.90 4.00 -6.7 n/a -7.2 0.8 n/a 1.9 -12.50 -7.5 -6.3
(6) 0.3 4.8 n/a 5.1 4.15 4.15 3.95 -5.5 0.0 -7.0 n/a n/a 1.5 -7.00 -8.0 -5.9
(7) 0.5 5.0 4.3 3.5 4.16 4.14 4.05 n/a n/a -7.0 n/a n/a 0.7 -7.00 -7.3 -5.9
(8) 0.3 4.7 4.6 4.0 4.21 4.25 4.09 -6.0 n/a -7.0 -3.0 n/a 0.5 -6.00 -7.3 -5.9
(9) 0.7 4.8 4.5 3.7 4.20 4.15 4.30 -7.3 -0.6 -7.5 n/a n/a -0.5 -8.00 -7.5 -6.3
(10) 0.3 4.7 4.6 5.0 4.20 4.15 4.10 -4.4 0.6 -6.5 -0.5 0.6 1.6 -6.70 -7.7 -5.9
(11) 0.4 4.8 5.0 4.2 4.15 4.05 4.00 -4.2 0.8 -6.4 0.5 n/a 2.0 -7.50 -7.2 -5.3
(12) 0.4 4.8 4.8 3.7 4.20 4.20 4.05 -5.5 0.1 -7.0 -1.5 0.3 1.0 -7.00 -7.3 -6.0
(13) 0.4 4.8 4.8 2.8 4.20 4.20 4.20 -5.2 n/a -6.8 -0.8 n/a 0.8 -7.10 -7.3 -6.7
(14) 0.3 4.7 4.1 4.2 4.25 4.35 4.20 -6.6 n/a -7.0 -0.4 n/a 0.4 -7.10 -8.0 -6.0
(15) 0.3 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.20 4.25 4.15 -5.4 n/a -6.8 -1.2 n/a 1.5 -6.80 -7.3 -6.0
(1) Banca Comerciala Romana, Cristian Mladin
(2) Banca Romaneasca, Daniel Buzatu
(3) Banca Transilvania, Mirela Cadar
(4) Bancpost, Dan Bucsa
(5) Barclays Capital, Daniel Hewitt
(6) BRD, Angeliu Ursache
(7) CEC Bank, Irina Zaicanu
(8) Credit Europe Bank, Georgiana Constantinescu
(9) Eximbank, Eugen Grecescu
(10) ING Bank NV, Nicolaie Alexandru-Chidesciuc
(11) Millennium Bank Romania, Ciprian Dascalu
(12) Raiffeisen Bank, Ionut Dumitru
(13) RBS Romania, Catalina Molnar
(14) UniCredit Tiriac Bank, Rozalia Pal
(15) Volksbank Romania, Melania Hancila
Notes:
CPI - Consumer price index (pct change).
LEU - Euro/leu exchange rate at end of each month.
GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change).
TRADE - Foreign trade balance (FOB/FOB, billions of euros).
BUDGET - Public finance balance in percent of GDP.
For a report on the survey please double-click on. For forecasts of interest rates please click. Keywords: ROMANIA ECONOMY/TABLE (Compiled by Ioana Patran, Editing by Stephen Nisbet, +40 21 315 8320) COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Reuters 2010. All rights reserved. The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters.