CALGARY, Alberta, Nov. 13, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- South Bow Corp. (TSX & NYSE: SOBO) (South Bow or the Company) reports its third-quarter 2025 financial and operational results and provides its 2026 outlook. Unless otherwise noted, all financial figures in this news release are in U.S. dollars.
Highlights
Safety and operational performance
- Recorded average throughput of approximately 584,000 barrels per day (bbl/d) on the Keystone Pipeline in the third quarter of 2025, and approximately 703,000 bbl/d on the U.S. Gulf Coast segment of the Keystone Pipeline System.
- Throughput on the Keystone Pipeline and the U.S. Gulf Coast segment of the Keystone Pipeline System averaged approximately 580,000 bbl/d and approximately 730,000 bbl/d, respectively, during the first nine months of 2025.
- Achieved mechanical completion for the Blackrod Connection Project and placed the 25-km natural gas lateral into commercial service. Final facility activities are currently underway, and the project remains on schedule to be placed into service in early 2026. Associated cash flows are expected to increase throughout the second half of 2026 and into 2027.
- Continued to advance remedial actions relating to the incident that occurred at Milepost 171 (MP-171) of the Keystone Pipeline, including completing six in-line inspections and 37 integrity digs to date. See "Milepost 171 incident" of this news release for additional details.
Financial performance
- Delivered stable financial results in the third quarter of 2025 due to the Company's strong commercial underpinnings.
- Generated revenue of $461 million and net income of $93 million ($0.45/share).
- Recorded normalized earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation, and amortization (normalized EBITDA)1 of $254 million, representing a 2% increase from the second quarter of 2025 due to higher contributions from maintenance capital expenditures for system integrity projects on the Keystone Pipeline System, offset by expected losses in the Marketing segment.
- Reported distributable cash flow1 2 of $236 million, representing an increase of $69 million from the second quarter of 2025, driven primarily by changes in U.S. tax legislation and South Bow's tax optimization efforts.
- Maintained total long-term debt and net debt1 outstanding of $5.8 billion and $4.8 billion, respectively, during the third quarter of 2025. The Company's net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio1 was unchanged at 4.6 times as at Sept. 30, 2025.
- On Oct. 3, 2025, extended the tenor of the Company's C$2 billion revolving credit facility by one year, maturing on Oct. 3, 2029.
Returns to shareholders
- Declared dividends totalling $104 million or $0.50/share to shareholders during the third quarter of 2025.
- South Bow's board of directors (the Board) approved a quarterly dividend of $0.50/share, payable on Jan. 15, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on Dec. 31, 2025. The dividends will be designated as eligible dividends for Canadian income tax purposes.
Corporate updates
- South Bow expects to complete the transition to its new supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system in the fourth quarter of 2025, the final significant item in exiting the Transition Services Agreement (TSA) with TC Energy Corporation (TC Energy) as it relates to the spinoff transaction (the Spinoff).
- In early October, South Bow and associated parties mutually agreed to withdraw all complaints and protests relating to the variable toll disputes filed with the Canada Energy Regulator, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, the Court of King's Bench of Alberta, and the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.
- As part of the Separation Agreement between South Bow and TC Energy, TC Energy indemnified South Bow for matters that existed prior to the Spinoff. Following the withdrawal of the variable toll disputes, South Bow reached its maximum indemnity liability of $22 million.
- The Board has approved South Bow's 2026 budget, which is focused on strengthening the Company's financial position, maturing and executing a portfolio of organic and inorganic growth opportunities, and delivering strong and sustainable returns to shareholders. Normalized EBITDA is projected to be approximately $1.03 billion, within a range of 2%, with approximately 90% secured through committed arrangements. See "2026 guidance" of this news release for additional details.
South Bow's unaudited consolidated interim financial statements and notes (the financial statements), and management's discussion and analysis (MD&A) as at and for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2025 (the Q3 2025 MD&A) are available on South Bow's website at www.southbow.com, under South Bow's SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca, and in South Bow's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) at www.sec.gov. Certain disclosure within "Specified Financial Measures" of the Q3 2025 MD&A is incorporated by reference into this news release.
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1 Non-GAAP financial measure or non-GAAP ratio that do not have standardized meanings under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and may not be comparable to measures presented by other entities. See "Specified financial measures" of this news release.
2 In the second quarter of 2025, South Bow modified the definition of distributable cash flow. Comparative measures have been restated to reflect these changes. See "Specified financial measures" of this news release.
Financial and operational results
| $ millions, unless otherwise noted | Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | ||||||||
| June 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2024 | Sept. 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2024 | ||||||
| FINANCIAL RESULTS | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 524 | 461 | 534 | 1,483 | 1,632 | |||||
| Income from equity investments | 13 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 37 | |||||
| Net income | 96 | 93 | 61 | 277 | 261 | |||||
| Per share1 | 0.46 | 0.45 | 0.29 | 1.33 | 1.26 | |||||
| Normalized net income2 | 87 | 99 | 86 | 284 | 271 | |||||
| Per share1 2 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 1.36 | 1.31 | |||||
| Normalized EBITDA2 | 250 | 254 | 262 | 770 | 801 | |||||
| Keystone Pipeline System | 234 | 260 | 257 | 729 | 778 | |||||
| Marketing | (1 | ) | (17 | ) | (7 | ) | (2 | ) | (12 | ) |
| Intra-Alberta & Other | 17 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 35 | |||||
| Distributable cash flow2 3 | 167 | 236 | 190 | 560 | 466 | |||||
| Dividends declared | 104 | 104 | - | 312 | - | |||||
| Per share1 | 0.50 | 0.50 | - | 1.50 | - | |||||
| Capital expenditures4 | 34 | 52 | 62 | 118 | 94 | |||||
| Total long-term debt5 | 5,774 | 5,751 | 10,452 | 5,751 | 10,452 | |||||
| Net debt2 6 | 4,903 | 4,836 | 4,827 | 4,836 | 4,827 | |||||
| Net debt-to-normalized EBITDA (ratio)2 7 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.5 | |||||
| Common shares outstanding, weighted average diluted (millions)8 | 208.8 | 208.8 | 207.6 | 208.7 | 207.6 | |||||
| Common shares outstanding (millions)8 | 208.2 | 208.3 | 207.6 | 208.3 | 207.6 | |||||
| OPERATIONAL RESULTS | ||||||||||
| Keystone Pipeline System Operating Factor (SOF) (%)9 | 93 | 92 | 95 | 94 | 95 | |||||
| Keystone Pipeline throughput (Mbbl/d) | 544 | 584 | 616 | 580 | 627 | |||||
| U.S. Gulf Coast segment of Keystone Pipeline System throughput (Mbbl/d)10 | 760 | 703 | 815 | 730 | 738 | |||||
| Marketlink throughput (Mbbl/d) | 625 | 547 | 636 | 574 | 613 | |||||
- Per share amounts, with the exception of dividends, are based on weighted average diluted common shares outstanding.
- Non-GAAP financial measure or non-GAAP ratio that do not have standardized meanings and may not be comparable to measures presented by other entities. See "Specified financial measures" of this news release.
- In the second quarter of 2025, South Bow modified the definition of distributable cash flow. Comparative measures have been restated to reflect these changes. See "Specified financial measures" of this news release.
- Capital expenditures per the investing activities of the consolidated statements of cash flows of the financial statements.
- Total long-term debt as at Sept. 30, 2025 and June 30, 2025 includes the Company's senior unsecured notes and junior subordinated notes. Total long-term debt as at Sept. 30, 2024 includes the Company's long-term debt to affiliates of TC Energy.
- Includes 50% equity treatment of South Bow's junior subordinated notes.
- South Bow expects that its net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio will increase modestly through the remainder of 2025 as the Company continues to invest in the Blackrod Connection Project and incur one-time separation costs of approximately $30 million to $40 million associated with the Spinoff in 2025. South Bow anticipates exiting 2025 with a net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio of approximately 4.7 times. On Aug. 6, 2025, the Company previously disclosed its expectation of exiting 2025 with a net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio of approximately 4.8 times. The net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio was 4.5 times as at Dec. 31, 2024.
- The common shares issued on Oct. 1, 2024 have been used for comparative periods, as the Company had no common shares outstanding prior to the Spinoff. For periods prior to Oct. 1, 2024, it is assumed there were no dilutive equity instruments, as there were no equity awards of South Bow outstanding prior to the Spinoff.
- SOF measures South Bow's ability to deliver crude oil at the planned maximum rate of the Keystone Pipeline.
- Comprises throughput originating in Hardisty, Alta. transported on the Keystone Pipeline, and throughput originating in Cushing, Okla. transported on Marketlink for destination in the U.S. Gulf Coast.
Milepost 171 incident
- Following the MP-171 incident, the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) issued a Corrective Action Order (CAO) requiring South Bow to undertake corrective actions, including operating under pressure restrictions for specific segments of the pipeline.
- Total costs relating to the incident, estimated at approximately $55 million, are largely expected to be recovered through the Company's insurance policies by early 2026. As of Sept. 30, 2025, South Bow has received approximately $16 million in reimbursements under its insurance policies.
- The timing of PHMSA's expected release of the independent third-party root cause analysis (RCA) has been impacted by the U.S. federal government shutdown.
Initial findings
- According to the mechanical and metallurgical analysis, both the pipe and welds conformed to industry standards for design, materials, and mechanical properties.
- The failure resulted from a fatigue crack that originated along the pipe's manufactured long-seam weld.
Remedial actions
- South Bow is actively progressing its remedial actions, with six in-line inspection runs and 37 integrity digs completed to date. Preliminary results indicate no injurious issues.
- The in-line inspection process has been modified to address tool limitations by overlaying data from previous tool runs and implementing improvements in data analysis methods. South Bow will continue to work closely with its in-line inspection technology vendors to advance tool performance and validation, address and resolve tool limitations, and develop new technologies.
- Additional in-line inspection tool runs and integrity digs are planned for 2025 and 2026 as part of South Bow's comprehensive program to address the findings and recommendations from the RCA investigation.
- As part of PHMSA's CAO, South Bow is finalizing its remedial work plan to submit to the regulator for approval. This plan includes the corrective actions already completed. As South Bow conducts this remedial work, any findings will be incorporated into the plan and the Company's programs to enhance system integrity and ensure safe operations. South Bow is committed to maintaining transparency with its regulators, customers, and industry peers throughout this process.
Outlook
Market outlook
- Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) crude oil supply is expected to grow modestly throughout 2026 and remain below available pipeline egress capacity, resulting in continued low demand for uncommitted capacity on the Keystone Pipeline.
- Pricing differentials impacting the rates South Bow can charge for capacity on the U.S. Gulf Coast segment of its Keystone Pipeline System are expected to remain tight throughout 2026.
Guidance
- South Bow's guidance aims to inform readers about Management's expectations for 2025 and 2026 financial and operational results. Readers are cautioned that these estimates may not be suitable for any other purpose. See "Forward-looking information and statements" of this news release for additional information regarding factors that could cause actual events to be significantly different from those expected.
2025 guidance
- South Bow is reaffirming its 2025 guidance for normalized EBITDA, including forecasting the Marketing segment to be approximately $30 million lower in 2025 compared to 2024.
- South Bow is revising its outlook for distributable cash flow in 2025 to $700 million, within a range of 2%, to reflect lower expected current taxes resulting from changes in U.S. tax legislation and South Bow's tax optimization efforts, and higher expected interest income and other. With lower expected current taxes in 2025, South Bow's effective tax rate is now expected to range between 20% and 21%.
- All other guidance items remain unchanged.
South Bow's updated 2025 annual guidance is outlined below:
| $ millions, except percentages | 2025 Guidance1 2 (August 2025) | 2025 Guidance2 (November 2025) | 2025 YTD Actuals | |||||||
| Normalized EBITDA3 | 1,010 +1% / -2% | 1,010 +1% / -2% | 770 | |||||||
| Interest expense | 325 +/- 2% | 325 +/- 2% | 248 | |||||||
| Effective tax rate | (9 | ) | (27 | ) | (23 | ) | (40 | ) | ||
| Other income | - | (20 | ) | - | (20 | ) | - | |||
| Risk management instruments | (15 | ) | (16 | ) | (23 | ) | (25 | ) | (49 | ) |
| Keystone variable toll disputes | - | 43 | 11 | 43 | 11 | |||||
| Separation costs | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 30 | |||||
| Tariff charges | - | - | - | 1 | - | |||||
| Keystone XL costs and other | - | 2 | 15 | 5 | 15 | |||||
| Normalized EBITDA | 250 | 254 | 262 | 770 | 801 | |||||
The following table reconciles income (loss) before income taxes to normalized EBITDA by operating segment for the indicated periods:
| $ millions | Three Months Ended June 30, 2025 | |||||||
| Keystone Pipeline System | Marketing | Intra-Alberta & Other | Total | |||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes | 177 | 14 | (65 | ) | 126 | |||
| Adjusted for specific items: | ||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 59 | - | 4 | 63 | ||||
| Interest expense | - | - | 81 | 81 | ||||
| Interest income and other | (2 | ) | - | (6 | ) | (8 | ) | |
| Risk management instruments | - | (15 | ) | - | (15 | ) | ||
| Separation costs | - | - | 3 | 3 | ||||
| Segment normalized EBITDA | 234 | (1 | ) | 17 | 250 | |||
| $ millions | Three Months Ended Sept. 30, 2025 | |||||||
| Keystone Pipeline System | Marketing | Intra-Alberta & Other | Total | |||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes | 178 | 1 | (75 | ) | 104 | |||
| Adjusted for specific items: | ||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 60 | - | 4 | 64 | ||||
| Interest expense | 1 | - | 83 | 84 | ||||
| Interest income and other | (4 | ) | (2 | ) | (3 | ) | (9 | ) |
| Other income | (20 | ) | - | - | (20 | ) | ||
| Risk management instruments | - | (16 | ) | - | (16 | ) | ||
| Keystone variable toll disputes | 43 | - | - | 43 | ||||
| Separation costs | - | - | 2 | 2 | ||||
| Keystone XL costs and other | 2 | - | - | 2 | ||||
| Segment normalized EBITDA | 260 | (17 | ) | 11 | 254 | |||
| $ millions | Three Months Ended Sept. 30, 2024 | |||||||
| Keystone Pipeline System | Marketing | Intra-Alberta & Other | Total | |||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes | 173 | 17 | (100 | ) | 90 | |||
| Adjusted for specific items: | ||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 59 | - | 2 | 61 | ||||
| Interest expense | (1 | ) | - | 116 | 115 | |||
| Interest income and other | - | (1 | ) | (26 | ) | (27 | ) | |
| Risk management instruments | - | (23 | ) | - | (23 | ) | ||
| Keystone variable toll disputes | 11 | - | - | 11 | ||||
| Separation costs | - | - | 20 | 20 | ||||
| Keystone XL costs and other | 15 | - | - | 15 | ||||
| Segment normalized EBITDA | 257 | (7 | ) | 12 | 262 | |||
| $ millions | Nine Months Ended Sept. 30, 2025 | |||||||
| Keystone Pipeline System | Marketing | Intra-Alberta & Other | Total | |||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes | 530 | 24 | (210 | ) | 344 | |||
| Adjusted for specific items: | ||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 178 | - | 11 | 189 | ||||
| Interest expense | 1 | - | 247 | 248 | ||||
| Interest income and other | (8 | ) | (2 | ) | (13 | ) | (23 | ) |
| Other income | (20 | ) | - | - | (20 | ) | ||
| Risk management instruments | - | (25 | ) | - | (25 | ) | ||
| Keystone variable toll disputes | 43 | - | - | 43 | ||||
| Separation costs | - | - | 8 | 8 | ||||
| Tariff charges | - | 1 | - | 1 | ||||
| Keystone XL costs and other | 5 | - | - | 5 | ||||
| Segment normalized EBITDA | 729 | (2 | ) | 43 | 770 | |||
| $ millions | Nine Months Ended Sept. 30, 2024 | |||||||
| Keystone Pipeline System | Marketing | Intra-Alberta & Other | Total | |||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes | 573 | 38 | (265 | ) | 346 | |||
| Adjusted for specific items: | ||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 179 | - | 5 | 184 | ||||
| Interest expense | 2 | 1 | 301 | 304 | ||||
| Interest income and other | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | (36 | ) | (40 | ) |
| Risk management instruments | - | (49 | ) | - | (49 | ) | ||
| Keystone variable toll disputes | 11 | - | - | 11 | ||||
| Separation costs | - | - | 30 | 30 | ||||
| Keystone XL costs and other | 15 | - | - | 15 | ||||
| Segment normalized EBITDA | 778 | (12 | ) | 35 | 801 | |||
Normalized net income and normalized net income per share
Normalized net income represents net income adjusted for the normalizing items described above and is used by Management to assess the earnings that are representative of South Bow's operations. By adjusting for non-recurring items and other factors that do not reflect the Company's ongoing performance, normalized net income provides a clearer picture of the Company's continuing operations. This measure is particularly useful for investors as it allows for a more accurate comparison of financial performance and trends across different periods. On a per-share basis, normalized net income is derived by dividing the normalized net income by the weighted average common shares outstanding at the end of the period. Management believes this per-share measure is valuable for investors as it provides insight into South Bow's profitability on a per-share basis, assisting in evaluating the Company's performance.
The following table reconciles net income to normalized net income for the indicated periods:
| $ millions, except common shares outstanding and per share amounts | Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | ||||||||
| June 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2024 | Sept. 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2024 | ||||||
| Net income | 96 | 93 | 61 | 277 | 261 | |||||
| Adjusted for specific items: | ||||||||||
| Other income | - | (20 | ) | - | (20 | ) | - | |||
| Risk management instruments | (15 | ) | (16 | ) | (23 | ) | (25 | ) | (49 | ) |
| Keystone variable toll disputes | - | 40 | 11 | 40 | 11 | |||||
| Separation costs | 3 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 40 | |||||
| Tariff charges | - | - | - | 1 | - | |||||
| Keystone XL costs and other | - | 2 | 15 | 5 | 15 | |||||
| Tax effect of the above adjustments | 3 | (2) | (8 | ) | (2) | (7 | ) | |||
| Normalized net income | 87 | 99 | 86 | 284 | 271 | |||||
| Common shares outstanding, weighted average diluted (millions) | 208.8 | 208.8 | 207.6 | 208.7 | 207.6 | |||||
| Normalized net income per share | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 1.36 | 1.31 | |||||
Distributable cash flow
Distributable cash flow is used to assess the cash generated through business operations that can be used for South Bow's capital allocation decisions, helping investors understand the Company's cash-generating capabilities and its potential for returning value to shareholders. Distributable cash flow is based on income (loss) before income taxes, adjusted for depreciation and amortization, the normalizing items discussed above, and further adjusted for specific items, including income and distributions from the Company's equity investments, maintenance capital expenditures, which are capitalized and generally recoverable through South Bow's tolling arrangements, and current income taxes.
Distributable cash flow guidance is a forward-looking non-GAAP financial measure. South Bow does not provide a reconciliation of such forward-looking measure to the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP due to unknown variables and the uncertainty related to future results. These unknown variables may be inherently difficult to determine without reasonable efforts.
In the second quarter of 2025, South Bow modified the definition of distributable cash flow to no longer adjust income (loss) before income taxes for interest income and other. Management believes that this modified definition of distributable cash flow more accurately reflects the amount of cash generated through business operations that can be used for South Bow's capital allocation decisions. Comparative measures have been restated to reflect these changes.
The following table reconciles income (loss) before income taxes to distributable cash flow for the indicated periods:
| $ millions | Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | ||||||||
| June 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2024 | Sept. 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2024 | ||||||
| Income before income taxes | 126 | 104 | 90 | 344 | 346 | |||||
| Adjusted for specific items: | ||||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 63 | 64 | 61 | 189 | 184 | |||||
| Income from equity investments | (13 | ) | (12 | ) | (12 | ) | (38 | ) | (37 | ) |
| Distributions from equity investments | 18 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 50 | |||||
| Maintenance capital expenditures1 2 | (8 | ) | (11 | ) | (22 | ) | (32 | ) | (46 | ) |
| Current income tax expense | (10 | ) | 71 | 38 | 39 | (37 | ) | |||
| Normalizing items, net of tax3 | (9 | ) | 6 | 18 | 7 | 6 | ||||
| Distributable cash flow | 167 | 236 | 190 | 560 | 466 | |||||
- Supplementary financial measure. See "Specified Financial Measures" of the Q3 2025 MD&A, certain information from which is incorporated by reference into this news release.
- Maintenance capital expenditures are generally recoverable through South Bow's tolling arrangements.
- Refers to adjustments made to normalized net income, net of tax, and include other income, risk management instruments, Keystone variable toll disputes, separation costs, tariff charges, and Keystone XL costs and other.
Net debt and net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio
Net debt is used as a key leverage measure to assess and monitor South Bow's financing structure, providing an overview of the Company's long-term debt obligations, net of cash and cash equivalents. Management believes this measure is useful for investors as it offers insights into the Company's financial health and its ability to manage and service its debt obligations. Net debt is defined as the sum of total long-term debt with 50% equity treatment of the Company's junior subordinated notes, operating lease liabilities, and dividends payable, less cash and cash equivalents, per the Company's consolidated balance sheets.
Net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio is used to monitor South Bow's leverage position relative to its normalized EBITDA for the trailing four quarters. This ratio provides investors with insight into the Company's ability to service its long-term debt obligations relative to its operational performance. A lower ratio indicates stronger financial health and greater capacity to meet its debt obligations.
| $ millions, except ratios | June 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2025 | Sept. 30, 2024 | |||
| Long-term debt to affiliates of TC Energy | - | - | 4,677 | |||
| Senior unsecured notes | 4,688 | 4,665 | 4,686 | |||
| Junior subordinated notes | 1,086 | 1,086 | 1,089 | |||
| Total long-term debt | 5,774 | 5,751 | 10,452 | |||
| Adjusted for: | ||||||
| Hybrid treatment for junior subordinated notes1 | (543 | ) | (543 | ) | (545 | ) |
| Operating lease liabilities | 20 | 25 | 22 | |||
| Dividends payable | 104 | 104 | - | |||
| Cash and cash equivalents | (452 | ) | (501 | ) | (622 | ) |
| Restricted cash held in escrow2 | - | - | (4,480 | ) | ||
| Net debt | 4,903 | 4,836 | 4,827 | |||
| Normalized EBITDA for the trailing four quarters | 1,068 | 1,060 | 1,079 | |||
| Net debt-to-normalized EBITDA (ratio) | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.5 | |||
- Includes 50% equity treatment of South Bow's junior subordinated notes.
- Senior unsecured notes and junior subordinated notes were issued on Aug. 28, 2024, of which $1.25 billion was used to repay long-term debt to affiliates of TC Energy; the remaining proceeds were held in escrow until completion of the Spinoff on Oct. 1, 2024.
Forward-looking information and statements
This news release contains certain forward-looking statements and forward-looking information (collectively, forward-looking statements), including forward-looking statements within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of applicable securities legislation, that are based on South Bow's current expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions in light of its experience and its perception of historical trends. All statements other than statements of historical facts may constitute forward-looking statements. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as, "anticipate", "will", "expect", "estimate", "potential", "future", "outlook", "strategy", "maintain", "ongoing", "intend", and similar expressions suggesting future events or future performance.
In particular, this news release contains forward-looking statements, including certain financial outlooks, pertaining to, without limitation, the following: South Bow's corporate vision and strategy, including its strategic and capital allocation priorities, its satisfaction thereof, and outlook; the Blackrod Connection Project, including in-service dates, and costs thereof, expected cash flows associated with the project coming into commercial service, and future expected investment associated with the project; PHMSA approvals and satisfaction of the CAO; anticipated finalization of the Company's work plan in response to the CAO; expected interest expense, financial charges, and effective tax rate; expected capital expenditures; expected dividends; expected Marketing losses; expected one-time separation costs relating to the Spinoff; the priorities of the 2026 budget, including strengthening the Company's financial position, maturing and executing a portfolio of organic and inorganic growth opportunities, and delivering strong and sustainable returns to shareholders; expected shareholder returns and asset returns; expected net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio exiting 2025; demand for uncommitted capacity on the Keystone System; expected pricing differentials on the U.S. Gulf Coast segment of the Keystone Pipeline System; treatment under current and future regulatory regimes, including those relating to taxes, tariffs, and the environment; South Bow's financial guidance for 2025, 2026, and beyond, including 2025 and 2026 normalized EBITDA, 2025 interest expense and 2026 financial charges, 2025 and 2026 distributable cash flow, and 2025 and 2026 capital expenditures; expected financial contributions of the Keystone Pipeline System, Marketing, and Intra-Alberta & Other segments; anticipated normalized EBITDA in 2026 by operating segment; the expectation that the Company will update its outlook for growth capital expenditures once it sanctions its next development project; that South Bow's maintenance capital expenditures in 2026 will generally be recoverable through its tolling arrangements; South Bow's expectation that its net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio will decrease modestly through 2026; South Bow's financial strength and flexibility; expected low risk associated with committed shipper arrangements; expected exit of the TSA and implementation of the SCADA system; expected sharing of investigative, root cause, and failure mechanism findings related to the MP-171 incident; expected ability to meet contractual throughput commitments on the Keystone Pipeline under the CAO; the expectation that South Bow will ensure safe and reliable operations on the Keystone Pipeline; expected remedial actions, timing for, and cost and coverage of, the remediation of the MP-171 incident; potential financial contributions from uncommitted capacity on the Keystone Pipeline System; potential impacts of the findings of the RCA, including planned actions by the Company to address such findings in 2025 and 2026, and response to the MP-171 incident on the financial and operational outlook; and the time and content of the senior leadership conference call and investor day webcasts.
The forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions that South Bow has made in respect thereof as of the date of this news release regarding, among other things: oil and gas industry development activity levels and the geographic region of such activity; that favourable market conditions exist and that South Bow has and will have available capital to fund its capital expenditures and other planned spending; prevailing commodity prices, interest rates, inflation levels, carbon prices, tax rates, and exchange rates; the ability of South Bow to maintain current credit ratings; the availability of capital to fund future capital requirements; future operating costs; asset integrity costs; that all required regulatory and environmental approvals can be obtained on the necessary terms in a timely manner; and prevailing regulatory, tax, and environmental laws and regulations.
Although South Bow believes the assumptions and other factors reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable as of the date hereof, there can be no assurance that these assumptions and factors will prove to be correct and, as such, forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially, including, but not limited to: the regulatory environment and related decisions and requirements; the impact of competitive entities and pricing; reliance on third parties to successfully operate and maintain certain assets; the strength and operations of the energy industry; weakness or volatility in commodity prices; non-performance or default by counterparties; actions taken by governmental or regulatory authorities; the ability of South Bow to acquire or develop and maintain necessary infrastructure; fluctuations in operating results; adverse general economic and market conditions; the ability to access various sources of debt and equity capital on acceptable terms; and adverse changes in credit. The foregoing list of assumptions and risk factors should not be construed as exhaustive. For additional information on the assumptions made, and the risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ from the results implied by forward-looking statements, refer to South Bow's annual information form dated March 5, 2025, available under South Bow's SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca and, from time to time, in South Bow's public disclosure documents, available on South Bow's website at www.southbow.com, under South Bow's SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca, and in South Bow's filings with the SEC at www.sec.gov.
The forward-looking information in this news release also includes financial outlooks and other related forward-looking information. Management approved the financial outlooks contained in this news release, including 2025 and 2026 normalized EBITDA and segment normalized EBITDA, 2025 interest expense and 2026 financial charges, 2025 and 2026 distributable cash flow, 2025 and 2026 effective tax rate, 2025 and 2026 net debt-to-normalized EBITDA ratio, and 2025 and 2026 growth and maintenance capital expenditures as of the date of this news release. This financial outlook information is based on, among other things, the various assumptions disclosed in this news release, including those under "Forward-looking information and statements" as of the date hereof. The internal projections, expectations, or beliefs are based on the 2025 and 2026 budgets, as applicable, which are subject to change in light of ongoing results, prevailing economic conditions, commodity prices, and industry conditions and regulations. The purpose of these financial outlooks is to inform readers about Management's expectations for the Company's financial and operational results in 2025 and 2026, and such information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
The forward-looking statements contained in this news release speak only as of the date hereof. South Bow does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements or information contained herein, except as required by applicable laws. All forward-looking statements contained in this news release are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
About South Bow
South Bow safely operates 4,900 kilometres (3,045 miles) of crude oil pipeline infrastructure, connecting Alberta crude oil supplies to U.S. refining markets in Illinois, Oklahoma, and the U.S. Gulf Coast through our unrivalled market position. We take pride in what we do - providing safe and reliable transportation of crude oil to North America's highest demand markets. As an investment-grade entity based in Calgary, Alberta, South Bow's common shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol SOBO. To learn more, visit www.southbow.com.
| Contact information | |
| Investor Relations | Media Relations |
| Martha Wilmot | Solomiya Lyaskovska |
| investor.relations@southbow.com | communications@southbow.com |


